Comment by athrowaway3z

20 hours ago

I have to wonder how much of this is driven by Israel accounting for the risk of less favorable US relationship in the future.

Pre-emptive violence; not even justified with a narrative of escalating threat.

Bleak for anybody who knows their history.

I think just forego the hypocrisy and have the Israeli's move the White House over there and put one of their own in it instead of pulling the strings.

Those who know their history also know that the current American administration is of a kind that usually ascends following the rules, but then never voluntarily leaves power.

So I don't think Israel has anything to fear there.

Literally this week, for the first time ever, a majority of Americans polled favored Palestine over Israel.

To be clear, I'm not trying to suggest that's why we're bombing Iran today. Just pointing out a data point supporting your hypothesis.

The US has moved half of its navy in the region, and there are doubts about its support?

  • “In the future” is not “now”.

    Neither the current administration nor Israel are particularly popular with the US public today, and those are correlated in that Israel has particularly lost support from Democrats and Independents in the US, suggesting that a change in power (legislative or executive, and especially both) in the US government could very easily spell much less favorable US policy toward Israel.

    • Normal people are starting to call themselves goyim and aren’t afraid to call themselves antisemites anymore. You can look at this from many angles (sitting here in Eastern Europe watching history repeat itself again in 4 years is a very discomforting feeling), but all of them are signs of Israel losing US citizenship support at an unprecedented velocity.

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And it happened on a Friday night. Best time of the week for the least news impact.

  • In the great age of grift wars ideally last no more than the time between Friday market close and Sunday futures open.

More specifically, seems to be driven by Netanyahu's political accounting. Starting a potential major war going into mid-terms is pretty inconvenient for Trump who could be looking at impeachment over Epstein. But Netanyahu is facing trial and October-7 investigation commissions more imminently and can't wait that long. Netanyahu trumps Trump, evidently.

  • > is pretty inconvenient for Trump who could be looking at impeachment over Epstein

    I mean, it is a pretty convenient distraction from the epstein files tho, so win-win for Trump/Netanyahu

It was Trump or his immediate environmetn who asked Israeli to attack Iran first (better optics); Israel would have never done this without American approval. Did Israel want this to happen though ? Yes. But so did the Americans. I guess the negotiations went badly.