Comment by zoogeny

6 hours ago

I recall an earlier exchange, posted to HN, between Wolfram and Knuth on the GPT-4 model [1].

Knuth was dismissive in that exchange, concluding "I myself shall certainly continue to leave such research to others, and to devote my time to developing concepts that are authentic and trustworthy. And I hope you do the same."

I've noticed with the latest models, especially Opus 4.6, some of the resistance to these LLMs is relenting. Kudos for people being willing to change their opinion and update when new evidence comes to light.

1. https://cs.stanford.edu/~knuth/chatGPT20.txt

> Kudos for people being willing to change their opinion and update when new evidence comes to light. > 1. https://cs.stanford.edu/~knuth/chatGPT20.txt

I think that's what make the bayesian faction of statistics so appealing. Updating their prior belief based on new evidence is at the core of the scinetific method. Take that frequentists.

  • It does not seem fair to say that frequentists do not update their beliefs based on new evidence. This does not seem to accurately capture what the difference between Bayesians and frequentists (or anyone else) is.