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Comment by gravypod

5 hours ago

This is very interesting. I wonder if someone could create a future-sight benchmark for these models? Like, if given a set of newspaper articles for the past N months can it predict if certain world events would happen? We could backtest against results that have happened since the training cutoff.

1 comment

gravypod

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houtanb  1 minute ago

FYI, ForecastBench[1] tests LLMs' out-of-sample forecasting accuracy

[1] https://www.forecastbench.org/

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