Comment by jerome_mc
3 days ago
AI outputs often feel like a gacha game. Paradoxically, the 'expensive' tokens are sometimes the cheapest in the long run. In my experience, higher-end models have a much higher 'one-shot' success rate. You aren't just saving on total token count by avoiding loops; you’re saving engineering time, which is always the most expensive resource anyway.
This is the right framing. The failure mode people don't anticipate is the upfront cost of setting up guardrails feels expensive, so they skip it — and then pay 10x in runaway agent loops.
The cheapest agent setup isn't the cheapest tokens, it's the one where you've defined "done" clearly enough that the agent stops when it's finished rather than when it runs out of context. That sounds obvious but most agent cost problems I've seen trace back to ambiguous completion criteria, not bad routing.
For what it's worth, we built a concierge service around exactly this problem — people who tried DIY agent setups, burned too much money, and decided they'd rather pay someone else to build it properly. openclawlaunchpad.com — not for everyone but fits a specific profile.
Both yes and no .we don't have a way to predict or forecast this