Comment by enoch_r

5 days ago

In this conversation, you have repeatedly referred to "all of the data" and "mountains of data," yet you have posted none. Meanwhile I have posted every major study on both sides of the debate! Your argument seems to be that:

- the experts have told people to use car seats

- experts wisely base policy on "all of the data"

- therefore, "all of the data" must support the claim that car seats save lives

If we're going to discuss the question of whether experts have set policy well or poorly in a particular case, then such a strong prior on "experts always set policy well and based on the best available evidence" kind of assumes the conclusion, doesn't it?

https://www.cdc.gov/child-passenger-safety/publications/inde...

Experts almost always set policy better than non-experts doing their own research. Especially on complex topics.

There is no point in two amateurs arguing over a topic they don't understand.

All I can do is refer to the publicly available reasoning and studies of experts, which have evidence and conclusions opposite of the amateur conclusion above.

  • Child car seat regulations are state laws passed by state politicians. They are not experts in any sense of the word, and generally don't bother with evidence or studies when creating said laws.

    • Just follow the CDC recommendation then, which is to keep kids in a car seat until 11-12 years old.

      I'm not arguing all laws are good or make sense. In this specific case, the law lines of up with the recommendation of experts studying the topic.

  • Risk tolerance is a value judgment, not an empirical fact waiting to be discovered.

    Competent experts could tell you how much safer you would be if you wore a helmet to drive your car. They can't tell you how much you should value that extra bit of safety.

    • Personal risk is a value judgement. The government steps in when your decisions impact the life of an unconsenting third party, like a child.

      Can you point to a single competent expert who recommends the average driver should wear a helmet while driving? Again, there is a difference between one study showing helmets reduce injury in crashes, and an expert reviewing the problem as a whole and making a recommendation.