Comment by dang

6 months ago

[stub for offtopicness]

[All: please don't post unsubstantive comments to HN. You don't have to like $Company or $Person, but when the banned accounts are posting more thoughtfully than the rest, that's... bad.]

Trying to dump on the market before the bubble pops.

  • Not sure why you are being downvoted. This is exactly what is happening and why OpenAI is trying to IPO to dump their garbage as well.

    • because its not accurate. they're milking the market. not dumping on the market.

      they're only (sic) going for 75 billion. with an evaluation in the trillion mark.

      This is just more speculative investment. you'll see this again in another year or so with a bigger evaluation on it... it's how the modern economy now "works".

    • maybe it's the histrionics? Thse personalities are inevitably inflating their own balloons in order to cash out, but that doesn't mean the reality is these companies are worthless. The downvotes come from comments like "OpenAI is trying to dump their garbage". At best that's a silly thing to say. We can argue "fair market value" but it's not zero.

      1 reply →

On one hand I do take some enjoyment of suckers being fleeced. But on other hand I know who this all will benefit so I really can't do that.

As whole I find that valuation just insane, but seemingly if you only offer tiny enough slice with enough hype it might bump prices to something that really make no sense at all...

  • The suckers being fleeced are every pension fund in the world. They're demanding the S&P includes them faster to force ETF owners to buy in before the price tanks.

    • God forbid we participants in the stock market evaluate a business before investing in it, or do any sort of work to get the return we're promised.

      I, for one, much prefer to earn a 9% return without expending any effort or thought at all.

      4 replies →

    • Why are they being fleeced? If people didn't want to buy SpaceX they could buy some other ETF that doesn't include it. If there's enough of a demand I'm sure ETFs will be offered which include all the big indexed stocks except SpaceX.

      2 replies →

  • Unless you literally have nothing, YOU are one of the millions being fleeced. Pensions & retirement funds, any index fund that comes remotely close to technology, any equity you own in a venture in tech, any industry that via very short linkages is connected. Good luck avoiding this.

    • You only get "fleeced" if the stock crashes. If it's that terrible of a stock then the price will be low. As far as SpaceX goes, I think there are far riskier companies with little prospect of doing well.

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What's in the SpaceX Files and why aren't they already public?

They are going IPO close to Elon's birthday (26th or 29th June) aren't they? Like they did with Tesla.

But as soon as they IPO, that's a signal to head for the exit before it all collapses again.

[flagged]

  • The five stages of Elon Musk:

      1.  Elon is a genius, a real world Tony Stark.
      2.  How dare you!  You're just jealous!
      3.  Ok, regardless, he's done more to advance EVe and space travel than anyone else alive.
      4.  Oh God, he's going to cripple US development of EVs and rockets, isn't he?
      5.  Eh, Mars was never happening in my lifetime anyway.

ugh he's going to be worth > 1T and go on to have even more influence than before. this is so bad for society.

idgaf about the company. sure they proved the space and moved the space forward just like Tesla did with electric cars but why did it have to be Elon?

Does this mean that before june SpaceX will do something highly noteworthy, to justify the IPO price?

  • Elon will announce roborockets that pick you up and fly you to Mars in under 12 hours while you hypersleep in the ExaShip. Production starts definitely next year.

    • I mean for some reason this was downvoted, and your answer is sarcastic, but my question was genuine. As far as I can tell, SpaceX's business model is doing government contracts, and selling space internet, and they had serious cashflow issues before, I mean building Starship has brought them close to bankruptcy multiple times.

      They would need a very good story to sell to investors.

If it goes public, does that means Musk won't own any of it? Can we rip it out of his filthy hands?

  • Likely only a shameful % of the company will float.

    • Expect a Facebook-style stock offering with 90% of the voting power in a special share class not available to retail.