Comment by dgellow

1 day ago

You have to recoup your training costs though? But I’m sure you would have better option than renting it to the general public if you indeed have a perfected AI

If you truly have an artificial superhuman mind, you don't need to rent it out to profit from it. You can skip to the chase and just have it run businesses itself, instead of renting it to human entrepreneur middlemen.

  • Running businesses and dealing with customers can be a major pain. There’s a lot of soft work in any business on top of the technical work.

    Why bother with all that when you can simply charge an extortionate rate and customers will pay it anyway because it’s still profitable?

    • Public APIs get distilled, this is why Deepseek and Qwen are so competitive.

      I am very confident that frontier models won’t be public at strong AGI levels, and certainly not at superhuman levels.

    • Because other than SWEs, very few other segments extract significant value from cutting edge AI at present. I suspect that for the average Joe conversing with their chat, GPT-4o was more than adequate (and really, when OpenAI tried to phase that out, the public revolted and they brought it back in).

      So companies might pay good money for these models for programming but elsewhere, I don't see where they capture particular interest yet.

  • It could be both? But renting to a few for a really large amount of money would be very low effort for massive revenue, compared to starting new businesses

    • Another option is to become a holding company with equity stakes in both suppliers (e.g. AMD) and vertical market customers.

  • I'm curious if any models are being trained explicitly on business management.

    I'm also wondering how performance would be tested, and how much results would depend on specific surrounding contexts (law, regulations, and so on) and what happens legally if a model breaks applicable laws.

    I mean actual going-concern businesses with customers, marketing, deliverables of some kind, and support. Not toy activities like share trading.