Comment by selfmodruntime

10 hours ago

For reference: This would almost triple their govts funds each year. One must also not forget that they're able to raise tolls in the future, both for monetary investment but also for negotiation purposes.

So we spent a ton of money and a bunch of people died to negotiate a much worse situation.

5D chess!

  • Making outrageous demands is normal in these negotiations. You can just look at what Hamas demanded during the ceasefires. What usually happens is no strong concessions from either side and hostilities just end. The regimes get to survive just in a badly degraded state.

    Most importantly Iran can't afford to keep the strait closed to enforce this. If they block shipping their own will be blocked as well - which hasn't yet happened, they were still allowed to ship oil. Iran was already in terrible financial shape before the war and they aren't negotiating from a strong position of power to take those risks.

    • > Most importantly Iran can't afford to keep the strait closed to enforce this. If they block shipping their own will be blocked as well - which hasn't yet happened, they were still allowed to ship oil.

      Why do you say this? During the war they set up a checkpoint system so their ships and ships they allowed to pass could still pass through.

      4 replies →

    • Is that an argument for them not being to enforce the ayatollbooth or its price to remain reasonnable ?

Not quite, since they plan to share the revenue with Oman, or at least that’s what they’re currently claiming.