Think of it as paying for tokens. The tokens you could buy 3 years ago are better and two orders of magnitude cheaper today. If that happens again over the next 3 years then the tokens you can buy today to do a job for 20k will cost 200.
This isn't optimistic in my opinion. It's not even fully realistic because Gemma 4, which you can run on local hardware, is even better and another few orders of magnitude cheaper. A 20k job today might a few dollars in a few years.
Think of it as paying for tokens. The tokens you could buy 3 years ago are better and two orders of magnitude cheaper today. If that happens again over the next 3 years then the tokens you can buy today to do a job for 20k will cost 200.
This isn't optimistic in my opinion. It's not even fully realistic because Gemma 4, which you can run on local hardware, is even better and another few orders of magnitude cheaper. A 20k job today might a few dollars in a few years.