Comment by solenoid0937

Interesting to see your observation where I have observed the opposite: posts that share big news about open-weight local models have many upvoted comments arguing local models shouldn’t be taken seriously and promoting the SOTA commercial models as the only viable options for serious developers.

Here and on AI tech subreddits (ones that aren’t specifically about local or FOSS) seem to have this dynamic, to the degree I’ve suspected astroturfing.

So it’s refreshing to see maybe that’s just a coincidence or confirmation bias on my end.

I agree but I’d like to add that people are definitely falling for PR, people are always falling for PR or no one would bother with PR

This assumes people are in touch with reality and aren't just motivated by vibes and insta-reactions on social media

> Competition is bad? Who cares - let the big players subsidize and compete between each other.

Subsidizing is the opposite of competing. It's literally the practice of underpricing your product to box out competition. If everyone was competing on a level playing field they would all price their products above cost.

All these tech oligarch asshat companies need to be regulated to hell and back.

It's hilarious how much this post reads as drafted by an LLM. The emdash, "it's not X, it's Y" framing, incredible.

Big players subsidizing is what kills medium and small players which then kills competition. What follows is monopoly.

Big players operating at loss to distort the market is not a good thing overall.

Since we’re sharing anecdata: I also have the $20 month plan for codex, and I hit the five hour limit after about an hour of work every single time I open it. I use it for personal side projects primarily in the evening after kids are in bed, so my strategy is to launch it about 4pm and send a simple prompt to prime the 5 hour window to end at 9pm, start working about 8pm, and then I can use up the existing 5 hour window and the next one by about 10pm.

I'm on the 100 USD plan with Anthropic, I hit the 5 hour limits about 75% of the time during working hours, but almost never the weekly ones - by the time they're reset I've usually used up between 50% - 75% of the quota. There are periods of more intense usage ofc, but this is the approx. situation I'm in (also it doesn't work on tasks while I'm asleep, because I occasionally like having a look at WIP stuff and intervene if needed).

The Anthropic 20 USD plan would more or less be a non-starter for agentic development, at least for the projects that I work on, even while only working on a single codebase or task at a time (I usually do 1-3 at a time).

I would be absolutely bankrupt if I had to pay per-token. That said, I do mostly just throw Opus at everything (though it sometimes picks Sonnet/Haiku for sub-agents for specific tasks, which is okay), so probably not a 100% optional approach, but I've wasted too much time and effort in the past on sub-optimal (non-SOTA) models anyways. I wonder which is closer to the actual cost and how much subsidizing there is going on.

Wow the 20 dollar Claude plan sounds awful. I use Claude at work which has metered billing and have to carefully not to hit my four figure max cap.

For me $20 a month is more than I want to spend I just use the free tiers. If I use AI in an app or site I use older models mostly chatgpt3.5. The challenge is more fun and it means I can do more like, make more api calls - 100x more.

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Go to /r/codex and see how pissed off people are by the new Codex Plus plan 5-hour limits (they're a sliver of what they were a week ago). Whatever OpenAI is doing to market on Reddit isn't working.

To be fair, GPT 5.4 is mostly a better model than Opus 4.6 in terms of quality of work. The tradeoff is it's less autonomous and it takes longer to complete equivalent tasks.

Thing is, Codex 5.3 is a better and more consistent model than anything Anthropic have come out with. It can deal with larger codebases, has compaction that works, and has much less of a tendency to resort to sycophantic hallucination as it runs out of ideas. I also appreciate their approach to third party harnesses like opencode, which is obviously the complete opposite to Anthropic and their scramble to keep their crumbling garden walls upright.

Which makes it even more of a shame that Sam Altman is such a psychopathic jackass.

There is good competition and bad competition.

Pricing your product unsustainably vs a competitor to gain market share is regarded as "bad competition" and has historically been seen as anticompetitive.

It does not benefit the consumer in the long run, because the goal is to use your increased funding or cash reserve to wipe your competition out of the market, decreasing competition in the long term.

Then, once your competition is gone, and you've entrenched yourself, you do a rug pull.

This is the benefits of competition in action

I haven’t noticed much hype around Codex. I have both and use Claude for broad work off my phone and Codex on my computer to clean up the mess. Crank reasoning to the highest setting for each. Claude is extremely unreliable for me, and Codex feels like more of a real tool. I’d say Codex has a bit of a learning curve. Nothing much has changed for me in the past month or two (whenever GPT 5.4 came out).

Anthropic coming out to say they won't surveil Americans wasn't actually a positive for me. It meant they're okay with surveilling the rest of the world, which in turn signaled "fuck you, you're inferior, deal with it" to me (as someone from the aforementioned rest of the world).

When OpenAI snatched those contracts, it made me think no worse of OpenAI. The surveillance was already factored into how I saw them (both).

OAI already requires this. They both require identity verification in some cases