Comment by markus_zhang
1 day ago
I think we are moving again in a very fast era. Velocity or efficiency is again more important than sipping your coffee and taking breaks. This is probably going to be a lot harder for Europe than other parts of the globe because other parts are more or less geared up already.
The other thing I can see is the greenlights that AI products will get in the next decade. AI already shows a lot of potentials and legislation already turns a blind eye about potential copyright issues. I believe every player in the theatre is going to slum dunk on this and give green light all the way.
My reasoning is built on 1) The Pax Americana is rotting away as the core is rotting away -> 2) Local dukes are going to try to grab whatever they wanted to grab but could not because Pax Americana had a hand on them (I use a feudal model because it is more accurate) -> 3) We will see more competition, which pushes all states to increase efficiency including the US -> 4) Since AI has the potential to 10x productivity, no one dares to say no to it.
Good luck and have fun! I’m very pessimistic about the next 50 years so I’m very biased.
> use a feudal model because it is more accurate
This is _entirely_ too accurate. The land grabs of today are mostly for eyeballs on ads (even though the old fashioned pointy-end-of-sword land grabbing seems to be back in fashion). Our "lords" are forced into survival mode, and mobilize their peasant militias on social media to spread their gospel. Maybe I'm stretching the metaphor too thin, but to me, it seems like we're at the crossroads between the imminent end of serfdom and the french revolution. The people are hungry and pretty pissed.
> I’m very pessimistic about the next 50 years so I’m very biased.
You're not alone. That's called awareness, and comes with experience. I hope things will get better, but the fruits of technology are not evenly distributed.