Comment by ks2048
20 hours ago
We will know when aliens are here when a new Polymarket account bets $10M on "aliens about to be discovered".
20 hours ago
We will know when aliens are here when a new Polymarket account bets $10M on "aliens about to be discovered".
https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-us-confirm-that-aliens...
According to the resolution criteria, I would say that that market should trade much much higher than OP's hypothetical market. Any governmental agency stating that "Extraterrestrial life exists" would count. NASA/Seti finding evidence of algae on an exo planet or Io or something counts.
I agree, it needs to be more specific. Like:
"NASA, ESA, and Roscosmos all confirm definitive concrete proof, and publish this proof, for the presence of organisms, or technology created by organisms, which originated from outside Earth's atmosphere, and was present within Earth's hill sphere at some point since 1900."
Which has already happened. Clinton basically announced the discovery of life on mars back in the 90s.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pHhZQWAtWyQ
2 replies →
The truth is out there! One cent at a time.
Can I put $1 million on no? How much will I earn?
$218000
Payout denied on the grounds of what "about to be" means.
I want a polymarket for "epstein files released"
I hate how true this is.