Comment by TekMol

5 hours ago

No, that is not how ELO scores work.

As far as I understand, this is exactly how ELO scores work. If a more capable show up and starts beating all the other models, it literally takes ELO points from everyone else.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Elo_rating_system

  •     If a more capable show up and starts
        beating all the other models
    

    There is an instance of this in the chart. In 2025-06-24 when Gemini-2.5-pro shows up. As you can see, the ELO of the others do not drop.

  • Depends on the test design; is an agent competing against other agent in a given match, or against a test? Plus! Does the test's ELO fluctuate?

It depends what you use as an anchor. If the anchor is a fixed model, you’re right. If the anchor is updated to a better model over time, then the elo of historical models degrades, right?