Comment by bonsai_spool

13 hours ago

Okay, this is clearly an LLM response, but for the sake of being polite:

> But predicting an election requires a lot more than polling datasets and statistics textbooks. That's the problem that he made himself out to be an election prediction wizard, but really that was off the back of his good prediction in quite a bland and conventional election.

> When things got slightly more spicy and reality diverged from his vaunted "models", his "data science" predictably fell in a heap

The models were correct in two elections - arguably three because a 30% chance means that an outcome will occur in thirty times out of hundred. That is not zero.

To the person who is running this LLM, please find better things to do with yourself.