Comment by compiler-guy

1 hour ago

The technical term is that you must have an “insurable interest” in what you insure. Both of your examples are people protecting their insurable interest. Ownership is the most common insurable interest, but there are many other ways to have one.

This is done because the insurance company wants you to prefer that the covered event doesn’t happen, which avoids some conflicts of interest.

These prediction market events don’t have the usual insurance interests involved.

> The technical term is that you must have an “insurable interest” in what you insure.

Yep, we're in full agreement here

Unless you short the property. Essentially, sell it now on the bet that it will drop in value later. Then it burns down and you repurchase the vacant lot and return the property to the original owner.

Evil, but most everything in real estate is evil.

  • And that's exactly the problem with Polymarket and such, it gives an incentive to be destructive because that's easy. Entropy is easy.

    With an insurance this trick won't work, because the insurance company will notice what you are doing. Polymarket doesn't care.