Comment by AtNightWeCode

1 hour ago

Historically similar services have also been used to try to manipulate the real world by using bets for creating opinions. Like if you get to vote between candidate x and y and x leads by 75% to 25% on Polymarket maybe you don't vote for y even if the real numbers may be way closer.

That opens up very fast to a very expensive arbitrage (on the manipulating party)

  • It is marketing money so it is not even for arbitrage. And you don't need to provide all the liquidity. Just enough to tilt the result.