Comment by rootusrootus

1 day ago

A billion? Really? At 200M you’re already including a lot of people that stretch the definition of knowledge worker.

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rootusrootus

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HDThoreaun  1 day ago

> At 200M you’re already including a lot of people that stretch the definition of knowledge worker.

How do you know this? Im certainly open to recalibrating my numbers which is why I asked for the source

  • windexh8er  1 day ago

    What's your source, because it looks wildly out of proportion compared to numbers we have now.

    • Andoryuuta  1 day ago

      To add an actual source to this thread, a brief paper by researchers at the International Labour Organization (ILO) states that for knowledge workers globally "... there are between 644 and 997 million jobs, which represents between 19.6 per cent and 30.4 per cent of global employment respectively." [1]

      [1]: Berg, Janine and Gmyrek, Pawel, Automation Hits the Knowledge Worker: ChatGPT and the Future of Work (April 21, 2023). UN Multi-Stakeholder Forum on Science, Technology and Innovation for the SDGs (STI Forum) 2023, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=4458221

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    • HDThoreaun  1 day ago

      I googled "number of knowledge workers worldwide" and read the top results. If you read it as I was confident in a billion I apologize, Im just trying to get an accurate count. What numbers do you have now and where did you find them?

      3 replies →

naravara  1 day ago

A lot of those ‘edge cases’ in the definition of “knowledge worker” are probably the stuff that’s most likely to have significant parts of the work augmented or replaced by AI agents. Like, call-centers are almost certainly going to get turned over in a big way. It’s not like the median tier-1 support operator just reading off a script is much better than an LLM anyway.