Comment by dcre
15 hours ago
Judging from the fact that the Opus 4.5 inflection point was not really anticipated, and we still don’t really know what threshold was crossed that suddenly made agentic coding accessible to so many more people, I think it’s safe to say we don’t know what the thresholds will be until they’re crossed. The fact that we don’t know exactly what they’ll be isn’t a good reason to think there won’t be any more.
> The fact that we don’t know exactly what they’ll be isn’t a good reason to think there won’t be any more.
Nor is it a good reason to think there will be more.
We should expect to see the process slowing down first. Until then we should expect it to continue with pretty high likelihood.
https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!_ZW2!,f_auto,q_auto:...
I think we have quite good reason to expect more. As I said, we already know (caveat with your level of irrational skepticism toward the overwhelming evidence) that the best existing models are better than the ones publicly available.
For what it's worth, at PyCon US this year I ran into a few people with access to Claude Mythos and they confirmed that it's notably better at writing code than public Claude Opus 4.7.