Comment by _aavaa_

5 days ago

Trivial now. It was not always the case: http://digamo.free.fr/david90.pdf

The benefits of computers were obvious before they went into production.

After 1T in spend, it's still not clear that AIs will beat out a $30k secretary.

Also, your link has nothing to do with computers.

  • The benefits of having a computer that we can now interact with in plain natural language, that can extract intent from vague questions/statements, and that can piece together answers is obvious.

    The link talks directly about the disconnect between the supposed productivity benefits of a technology and the measured productivity benefits of it in practice. And provides historical context about why the “obvious” benefits of a computer did not materialize when it was introduced; business and their processes had to be rebuilt around the computer before real gains were seen.

    • But LLMs can't actually do that any better than a 30k secretary with no training.

      It's a structural deficiency in the way they work that can't just be handwaived away.

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