Comment by techblueberry
1 day ago
> I just wish people would take a step back and think about the timescales here. Language Models are Unsupervised Multitask Learners was in 2019. Here we are seven years later and LOOK AROUND. The landscape is unrecognizable. It's worth thinking about who, in those seven years, had an accurate estimate of the future and whose estimate fundamentally failed. And just as it is valuable to note where propaganda about progress speeds past where we are, we should remember that it is costless to announce that at some unspecified future time all of this will settle down and things will go back to the way they were.
People can understand all this and still disagree with you.
Ok? The point isn’t that people can’t disagree it’s that “things will settle down to normal soon” is more a prayer than an argument.