Comment by ninjaa

2 days ago

For me I had so many

When I saw the DaVinci API in July 2022 I was floored - I realized you'd never have to write a college essay by hand again Whenever it was Stability's Stable Diffusion appeared - that was ridiculous too When I saw Code Interpreter for the first time I was obsessed, I said yo codegen is the path to AGI When I took a crack at solving ARC-AGI 2 using SOTA methods my mind truly opened to the fact that LLMs can reason, albeit through brutal enumeration and discovery When I encountered Claude Code and Codex as well

Basically ... I've been drinking the kool aid the whole time. It has almost always tasted great. Many times I've retreated back into "oh it's just a technology it has limits" and also sometimes I've lost myself to a touch of "AI psychosis". But overall I have a great relationship with it. It's nowhere nearly as addicting as e.g. internet porn was when I was a teenager. And one gig I had at a Fortune 10 enterprise, our small team of 5 shipped 12 apps in 15 months in an enterprise where typically they ship 1 app and 1 feature per year. This was 2025 ... so clearly we realized we were getting ~10x productivity thanks to Gen AI koding.

Bananas.

FTR I also do not question that we will possibly reach fairly general and yet poorly controllable intelligence with multi agent systems in a few more iterations. I give that a 30% chance of seeing a genuine flash of that at some point in 2027. And 80% in 2028.