Comment by alephnerd

11 hours ago

> Swiss citizens have rejected by a 55% majority...

This is still very close for comfort, and SVP will re-propose it again and again and again as it and it's predecessors have done for decades.

Only 58% of the voters voted.

55% no is… ok? Typical for such votes?

But of course, the SVP have been launching the same initiative since the 70s, they are unlikely to stop now.

  • >55% no is… ok? Typical for such votes?

    Very typical, and even higher than usual.

    The Swiss have votations all the time. They also can vote by mail. Those who didn't vote had no opinion, or no strong opinion, on the matter.

    Also, cities who should suffer the most of overcrowding by immigrants voted against, as well as cantons situated at the border, while the backcountry who never see any immigrant voted in favor.

    • Overcrowding by immigrants does not mean the location will vote in favor of restricting immigration. After all, those are the places with the highest number of immigrant voters, who will not support such restrictions.

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  • The issue is this means in aggregate only around 3-5% of the total population needs to flip in it's opinions for CHexit to happen - which is very doable over two election cycles.

    A 55% win with 58% turnout despite how this vote was front and center of media discourse is very worrisome as this shows how disengaged the other 42% are.

    • > in aggregate only around 3-5% of the total population needs to flip in it's opinions for CHexit to happen

      If the marketing were less xenophobic and the cap were derived from some scientific basis, I think I could be persuaded to vote for it. Particularly since it is not a vote for Chexit, but a democratic vote to confront the EU. (Britain triggered Article 50. Nothing in this referendum directs Berne to do that.)

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    • I mean technically, it was also rejected by the Kantons-as-entities so if that 5% is unevenly spread, theoretically it could still be rejected by Kantonal majority…

More surprising it didn't pass the "majority of cantons" either (both are required for initiatives like this), I would have expected it to pass (there are a lot of smaller/rural/alpine cantons which tends to vote more conservative).

The Masseneinwanderungsinitiative passed in 2014... and fuck all happened (despite the no campaign heavily leaning on the argument that it would kill the bilaterals, e.g. https://www.emuseum.ch/internal/media/dispatcher/286887/full). When push comes to shove, there is a solid bloc in parliament and the executive for saving the EU bilaterals, even if it means ignoring constitutional initiatives.

Swiss are too educated to fall for this.

They have among the lowest fertility rates on the planet and a huge over 50 population.

There's no way they can keep being wealthy and comfortable without younger immigrants.

So don't worry, only one or two terrorist attacks/Rotherham situations that the medias can't completely memory-hole and you'll be able to scream "It's like the bad guys from my Netflix series won, my duderinos!" on Reddit to your heart's content.

#NotSorryForFlaming