Comment by anon84873628
5 hours ago
When interest rates are low, capital is willing to go to riskier enterprises like biotech in order to get a larger return compared to the alternatives.
When interest rates are high, capital shifts to yield-generating, interest-bearing investments. They give higher returns with less risk.
So basically the ROI of biotech becomes less competitive compared to alternatives. You have the same number of people/firms chasing a smaller supply of investment dollars.
This doesn't work the way you imagine.
Suppose the ROI of biotech becomes more competitive compared to alternatives, because there's an ongoing series of technological breakthroughs.
The return on investing goes up (by assumption) and this means interest rates go up (by definition; they are the return on investing).
Is this bad for biotech? Does it shift capital out of biotech? Obviously not.
You're using "high interest rate" to mean "biotech has great returns right now".
Everyone else is using it to mean "the Federal Reserve has set the interest rate high right now"
Very different situations.
The difference between those two situations can't be determined by observing the level of interest rates. That's my whole point.
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