Comment by Balinares
2 days ago
I can't help wondering what kind of models we'll see coming out of China once it gets its own chip fabs up and running. Right now it sounds like the US's export ban is not slowing them down a whole lot.
2 days ago
I can't help wondering what kind of models we'll see coming out of China once it gets its own chip fabs up and running. Right now it sounds like the US's export ban is not slowing them down a whole lot.
There does not seem to be a big penalty for going slow anyways. People seem to just switch on cost as soon as a model can do a task well enough. There do not seem to be strong network effects or vendor lock in.
Seems to me that going slow is the better long term tactic. China can just let the USA pay the high R&D costs to figure out what works, then just copy what works.
With subsidization from the Chinese government they will probably be equal to or better than the models here. I mean, have you looked at the author list of any given AI paper published within, say, the past 5 years? I wouldn't be surprised if half or more AI researches are from China.
Can you compare the amount to the USA subsidization? Which one is bigger? Per Capita? Per unit of economic growth achieved?
> Right now it sounds like the US's export ban is not slowing them down a whole lot.
It may wind up being a massive boost to them in the long run, even.
Necessity is the mother of invention.
If this pans out, you're not at all kidding: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8ekndZwyOzo