Comment by 0x3f

10 days ago

This assumes the same reward ratio also continues, but that's not the case. A cutting edge LLM is something much more valuable than a cracked copy of Word. Just like the LLM providers themselves decided violating copyright was an acceptable risk, it entirely depends on how people see the tradeoffs, rather than being a categorical decision.

While that might be true, it is unlikely that open source models' capability will ever surpass frontier models --- if you have the best model (by some margin), then people will want to access it, even if it means going through compliance.

  • > it is unlikely that open source models' capability will ever surpass frontier models

    Sure about that? Would you invest in products almost no-one can buy?

    otoh, maybe China stop releasing their best models

    • Yes, that's what I meant. It's not that the Chinese will never be able to come up with models that superior --- it's simply that they will no longer have the incentive to open-source them once their models take the lead.

      Training models are expensive. No one can do it for free for very long.

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