Comment by reilly3000
1 day ago
It’s an asset on my balance sheet that’s already appreciating nicely and will likely be resale-able for what I paid for it for the next 7-10 years. I am on an Apple monthly installment plan so $5k is $416/month for 1 year, no interest. I’m able to run DS4 scale models and other open models without quantization, often multiple at once.
Imagine its value if war broke out over Taiwan / Greater China, or really any of the dark scenarios with global connectivity or the truthiness of commercially available models. It is a very, very difficult piece of equipment to make at any other moment in history. I wish I could have purchased more. I saw the signs and price trends and out of stocks as they unfolded. No doubt others with the means are stockpiling.
> will likely be resale-able for what I paid for it for the next 7-10 years
There is not a period in the history of computing where this is true of consumer hardware over a decade for anything other than hardware already at the very bottom of its depreciation curve. It is surprising to me that you state that as an obvious assumption.
I suppose if your base case is Taiwan war that may be true, but there's a lot of folks who seem to be assuming the current hardware crunch will go on indefinitely when the natural state of hardware is getting cheaper over time.