Comment by thewebguyd

we have global export controls on Fable/Mythos, and I think (but I'm not 100% sure) that other frontier models are illegal for a US company to provide to China. So Anthropic geoblocks it, but unlike Mythos/Fable, non US citizens can still use Opus, etc just not from within China.

But because of the public domain status of LLM output (in the US) I'm not sure paying someone to run a bunch of prompts through Claude, post the output on a public website and then have a lab in China pull that output, would run afoul of any laws I think that would be legal on technicality. AFAIK Anthropic has no ban in its terms of use that you can't share Claude's output publicly. You still need interactivity for distillation, but I don't think (for now) there's anything stopping a Chinese or other lab from sending people to the US, signing up for a Claude subscription and doing the work state side.

Distillation is pretty much impossible to stop. The US GOV would have to go the full export controls route like they did for Fable/Mythos to stop any non-US citizen from using/accessing the model, which is going to be impractical if not impossible to enforce.