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Comment by iwontberude

3 hours ago

Because for the company that will actually do it, their biggest customers aren’t data centers they are iPhone owners.

First off the math doesn’t math. Datacenters are willing to pay $50k for a single high end GPU. If you have unlimited capacity, yeah sell millions for $100 a pop or $10 a pop or whatever the bom cost of a phone GPU would be - but if you have limited capacity, you’re gonna sell all of that to the customer who is willing to pay the most PER UNIT.

Second off, this doesn’t work from a power consumption standpoint. When I run qwen3.6-35b, a far smaller model than op is suggesting, power usage spikes to 150-200W during inference. To fit a 1T model in the palm of my hand, the amount of processing required doesn’t fit the amount of power available.

Now I’m not saying this will never happen - there are some great leads, e.g. burning models directly on to a chip - but op’s scenario is definitely not happening in two years. Maybe 5, a lot more likely 10, unless of course local ai is made illegal