Comment by typon

2 hours ago

By early 2028, major players like Intel, AMD, QC will ship accelerators in consumer laptops capable of running ~1T MoE models at ~100 tok/s

Literally the only way this is going to happen is if aliens come to earth and gift us some amazing technology.

Unless there are major improvements to how much hardware it takes to run a 1T model, this is deeply unrealistic. First because why release hardware that puts your biggest customers (data centers) out of business. Second because as I understand it the data centers have bought up all the high end chip production capacity for at least the next year and unless the bubble pops that'll continue for a while.

  • Because for the company that will actually do it, their biggest customers aren’t data centers they are iPhone owners.