Comment by s1artibartfast
5 hours ago
I think it's unlikely the next War will be won by tanks and Liberty ships.
Beyond that there's still the economic viability problem in the US. A steel mill worker in the US makes 65k per year. In China they make 12K. This holds true for the rest of the heavy industry supply chain.
As the parent posts points out, what we are really fighting against here is baumol's cost disease.
Edit: a Chinese steel worker salary is about 80th percentile for Chinese workers - a very attractive gig.
US steel workers are about 40th percentile - worse than average.
For sure, it's not going to be the same, but we need to be able to feed our missile launchers for more than a couple of weeks if we get into a peer conflict. That means building a lot of big physical things, quickly, and transporting a lot of those big physical things, quickly. For that last part, actually, maybe we do still need liberty ships...