Comment by sunshinesnacks

16 hours ago

Yeah. I can’t remember names off the top of my head, but there are a few companies, and I think many researchers, working on AI “data assimilation” for this.

ECMWF has an experimental AIFS direct observational prediction model (AIFS-DOP) that has become competitive with their physics based IFS model on certain metrics just in the past year.

https://arxiv.org/html/2606.19093v1

  • Ah, yes, that’s one of them! Not to be confused with AIFS and AIFS Ensemble that are competitive with IFS, but start with the same DA as IFS.

    • I'm interested in understanding wheater prediction models because accurate wind forecasts make a big difference to my personal life (sports).

      Is there a good overview to learn about the current models, which all just seem like cryptic acronyms to me? in apps like Windy etc. WRF, TRRM, IK-HRRR-3km, ECMWF-9km,...

      I understand by now that small grid cells are better for local prediction and that thermic winds are mostly missing from them all.

      2 replies →