Comment by danans

9 hours ago

> But to get from "a revolutionary technology" to "the substrate the future runs on", then you need to assume more breakthroughs: long-context operation over weeks or months, displacing human workers 100% instead of 75%, and the ability to directly economically compete with actual humans ... without really thinking through what truly competitive-with-human AI would actually mean. We might be looking at massive job loss, centralization of power, fully automated "companies" with no humans dominating markets, and other dystopian scenarios.

At 75% replacement of a worker we would already have huge job losses as each individual would be doing what several before did.

The only alleviation would be the creation of new equivalently paid jobs, which is no better than a hypothesis right now.