Comment by RandomLensman

1 month ago

What do you mean by "take down Bear Stearns"?

Btw., projections are just that - projections and I am not sure Acemoglu proved things mathematical (as in a mathematical proof) but rather within the context of a model/assumptions.

That financial markets/innovation can outpace the actual innovation is also not some new insight, but that alone doesn't necessarily make for a useful prediction.

Bear Stearns was the first bank to collapse in the 2007-2008 subprime mortgage crisis, also known as the housing bubble.

That bubble was also manufactured by reckless financial engineers.

And those who warned early were ridiculed:

https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/who-is-nouri...

"When he spoke of an impending housing crash at the International Monetary Fund that year, the audience chuckled, the New York Times reported."

'"He sounded like a madman in 2006," IMF economist Prakash Loungani told the Times, after inviting Roubini to the IMF conference that year. "He was a prophet when he returned in 2007."'

  • I am fully aware of the GFC, but not sure what "take down" should mean there in relation to Bear.

    Not everyone who spoke about house price risk was ridiculed, btw.