Comment by XCSme

11 hours ago

It's fun, but every new model release makes me even less interested to create cool stuff. Like, what's the point, if the next AI can do it in 5 seconds?

„The depressing thing about tennis is that no matter how good I get, I'll never be as good as a wall.“ -Mitch Hedberg

  > Like, what's the point, if the next AI can do it in 5 seconds?

Live a life doing whatever makes you happy.

Post-work society is an inevitability if we don't destroy our planet.

  • I think you're assuming work's only function is getting things done. Work also is a crowd control tool.

    • Is it realistic to keep people working jobs that don’t get anything done in the long term? I know most people will say that’s already happening, but imagine a society where basically every job is just a bullshit job made to keep you occupied, do you think people will continue working in a society like that?

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  • Gary Economics wants to have a word with you.

    It would be fun to get to post-work society, but hard to imagine atm. TPTB won't let it happen

  • > Post-work society is an inevitability if we don't destroy our planet.

    Is it?

    • Walk current technological progress down the road.

      I can't see a future in which almost every system (both physical and virtual) are not automated and optimized by autonomous entities.

      What do you do when everyone is out of a job?

      If you don't want pitchforks and riots in the streets, you give everyone UBI and housing so society doesn't collapse.

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  • How do you imagine a post work society where people can have inequality? I don't want to be equal. I want to do more.

  • > Post-work society is an inevitability

    Ah yes because these AI companies are just gonna give away the models for free that I use with my free computer and free smartphone while I eat with my free food in my free apartment.

> Like, what's the point, if the next AI can do it in 5 seconds?

I built a phone app recently, not released to the public, just an idea I had for ages but could never spend the time actually building. Its 100% vibe coded, and took me a few weekends to build... I'm talking a few hours in total.

The point I'm making is that you now have the power to create stuff you would never have had the time to build. You can think big, wild stuff. Experimentation. Throw-away code.

What a time to be alive!

  • My car has offline maps and navigation. I don't really care for navigation, but I find the maps pretty handy. VW releases updates very infrequently, and I don't know for how long they'll keep doing that. Recently I wondered whether I could convert OpenStreetMaps into the format used by the car. Codex took around a week to do that for me, with some light steering. That project would no doubt have taken me months - maybe a whole year to do on my own, and I'm not fully confident I could pull it off as well as Codex did. I can pull the most up to date maps from OSM, edit them as much as I want, and they look great on the car. It's mind boggling to me that we have this tech.

  • Me too! (although I am hoping to release it, but it was primarily for me)

    I was thinking about writing something and hopefully starting a community/resource area around hyper-personalized software, it's so easy to make now. I was thinking about how it'd be useful to have a place to share these, for ideation, sharing techniques and the ability for LLMs to riff on something already existing. It's not quite like open source's advantage of having many people contribute to the same project, but rather something that is closer to evolution, giving the next generation a place to start modifying.

    Would you have any interest in sharing what you've made?

  • Yes, that's cool and useful. Creating stuff for ourselves, for our own use. But we are social animals, we like sharing.

    Before it was cool to share an app you made, but now? What's the point of sharing an app, if the other person can make their own, even better suited for their needs, in a few seconds?

    • indie hacking seems dead-ish because everything can just be cloned instantly, and if you don't have a serious go to market plan with a latent user base you're SOL.

Maybe instead of creating cool stuff try to go and solve real problems? It seems to me that we are lacking in that department since all that LLM fuss has started 3 or so years ago.

  • What is a "real problem" to you?

    • It is a subset of something of a value to somebody else and enough so that they are willing to pay you for it, a product, a service. Preferably to pay enough to justify your spent time of course, maybe not right away but at least long term. Even better if not purely digital as it seems we have quite enough of those already.

    • Just a few:

      - Lots of diseases which kill indiscriminately,

      - Thousands of people each year feel the need to commit suicide in ways that affect others profoundly, like via train,

      - Shoe and clothing sizes are inconsistent and unreliable,

      - Male pattern baldness,

      - Over dependence on cars for transport, which are noisy, smelly and dangerous,

      - Obesity,

      - We can buy cigarettes and alcohol freely, but not any decent drugs like MDMA.

Yeah. I’m almost glad I didn’t invest any time in any of my 100s ideas for a startup. Most of them would be destroyed by AI by now.

But, you can create cool stuff just for yourself. That’s the upside. It’s just hard to make a living on cool stuff for yourself.

  • For some reason, I feel much less excited about creating things myself just knowing that ai can do it in 1/10th of the time. Even if I know it wouldn’t turn into a business or make me money. I don’t know why that is, but I was much more motivated to build anything (even things just for myself) before ai. Kinda depressing

    • At least for me, I think half the value in building to learn was that the knowledge and skills acquired in the process, especially cursory skills and knowledge, might be useful in the future, even if there was no obvious path to application at the time.

      I built several projects at home, many involving learning e.g. graphics programming and rendering, that would never be useful in my professional work, but which were intrinsically interesting and enabled me to build other, more useful projects later on. It also gave me greater confidence in my abilities as an engineer, and cursory skills I learned in the process did help in my professional work.

      Now it feels like what’s the point. The machines can or will be able to build anything I could want, useful or not, faster and with less frustration. I probably won’t be able to be employed as an engineer long enough to build a career on said skills. And I can’t mentally justify not spending that time with friends and family, when the expected return is basically zero.

      I still find math, science, and engineering interesting and intrinsically rewarding, but in a closer sense to how one might feel about playing video games. The information is or will eventually be useless, so it isn’t worth spending a significant amount of time on.

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    • The flip side to ai doing your stuff in 1/10 the time is that you can now do 10x more. Even things you couldn’t do at all, in fact.

      I find that very motivating. I can do things alone that would have required a team only one year ago.

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You're not being ambitious enough! Spend your tokens now building the primitives and foundations of much larger, complex systems. No matter how much faster and more efficient models get, eliminating the gruntwork will always pay dividends.

  • That's what I am doing and usually telling others to: don't prompt the AI to do something, prompt the AI to create a system that does that something.

    It's true, it's fun to have those systems, maybe I care more about them than the product, because the promise is "better, cheaper results in the future". But those systems are software too, and only tools, and will likely too be obsolete in 1 year from now.

    I think it's a bit better when creating stuff now with a very short-term view: create something that is useful NOW, it doesn't matter it won't be useful tomorrow. Create it now and get it into the hands of people now.

The point is to inject something into the process that these AIs can't do for you.

People SHOULD feel like making a useless Mario Kart clone isn't worth the effort anymore. They should, instead, be trying to figure out how to actually use these models to make something that doesn't feel like a useless Mario Kart clone.

  • One thing that still stands today, is that even vibe-coding a good product takes time and thousands of dollars in tokens costs.

    Software will be more like a "proof of work", where people would still pay $100 for good software that took $10k tokens to build.

I find it regularly incapable of doing the most basic things - maybe the idea is to think in terms of more detail?

It’s kind of like saying what’s the point of poetry when a dictionary exists

Is there a point in playing Chess or Go when you know there's a computer out there that can beat you (and everyone else)?

  • No, that's why I just play against other humans.

    In this game of work/development, you can't make sure that other humans don't "cheat". Our work won't compete anymore with other human's work, but with a computer.

  • You can play PvP in those games. Not really the same with developing software. In fact, not using ai would probably make you lose if there was some “software PvP” mode or development.

Don't worry, like with every revolutionary technology before this, it takes 5-10 years for people to find new and creative ways to use it. It will be considered its own medium in many spaces (e.g. film is now different to theatre)

  • But was there ever a technology that even the people working on it said it's making them feel depressed and scared?

    • I used to work on this stuff. It does not make me depressed nor scared, and my coworkers didn't voice that opinion, either.

      You can't cherry pick somebody's opinion and assume it applies to everybody.

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The process was for you, the product was for the world.

Now it's just the product for the world, which was where most of the value was anyways.

It's a big paradigm shift and the industry is quickly going to shed people who needed the process to care about the product and we'll be left with people whose motivation to build the product (or money) is enough.

  • But what product? If the world can also simply ask for the product they want, instead of searching for it?

    They won't even have to ask for a specific product, they will just state their problems/needs.

IMO there has been a regime shift to building things for yourself and what is cool is the output of the tools you make.

I have started building my own Digital Audio Workstation. The point is not to build something to compete with Ableton. The point is to build something and make music with it. If it is a good tool then I should be able to make good music with it and release the music. Actually, the DAW should be the secret sauce of the music and something I wouldn't want to give away.

This feels a lot more like computing in the 90s after taking an odd 25 year detour of an obsession with the tools themselves instead of what the tools can actually do.

  •   > This feels a lot more like computing in the 90s after taking an odd 25 year detour of an obsession with the tools themselves instead of what the tools can actually do.
    

    This sounds more like the opposite of what you're saying. Music is one of my main hobbies too but I enjoy using a DAW to ... play and write music. Writing out specs and testing a new custom DAW seems closer to writing code in an IDE than playing music.

    Like, professional electronic music artists spend 10s of thousands of hours in a DAW, but at that point it just becomes second nature and the tool disappears so they can focus entirely on the music.

It's less lack of interest in creating that bothers me, it's my lack of interest in learning – it would surely be crazy for a SWE to care about how some new framework works anymore? Even if someone could reasonably argue that it might be slightly useful today there's almost zero chance it will be useful in 6-12 months times.

But it's not just tech – my lack of interest in learning and creating is starting to generalise with the models. Music, writing, coding, maths, etc...

I need to get used to switching my head off and asking the AIs to think for me whenever I need to engage my brain. It still feels very unnatural.

  • I think a general understanding is still useful, you just don't need all of the details anymore.

    The brain loves these kinds of shortcuts.

    I don't need to think about the fine motor skills of hitting a baseball, it's just a motion now, and the game is still fun.

    • But how would you feel if you imagined hitting the ball and a robot arm hit it instead?

      Because that's how creating software is starting to feel.

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Make cool stuff because the process is fun and makes you learn?

  • Before it was fun because I was learning useful things for the future.

    Now it feels like whatever I learn will be obsolete in 2 months.

You can contribute to Open Source projects that DO NOT allow AI generated code. For example: zig

lol have you actually tried to build anything useful e2e? Leaving the AI to itself gives horrendous results.

This has not been my experience so far.

  • That's good to hear.

    How long and much have you been using LLMs for?

    I think it takes ~1 year of heavy usage for this feeling to set in, it's like the 5 stages of grief, there's different phases.

    Now a big overwhelm come from the fact that the AI can work a lot faster than I can verify/check manually. Combined with the fact that not using the 100% usage of the subscription feels like wasting money/potential, leads to a feeling that I should always be doing more, where at the same time, it's getting hard to remember what am I even doing, when working on 3-4 projects at once.

    And I do work in multiple projects at once, because that's how AI works best nowadays, if you have two threads running for the same project, it gets buggy or wasted tokens (like two people working in the same file at the same time, merge conflicts ,etc.)

    So the solution is to have the AI work on many, independent tasks at once, but it gets overwhelming for a single person to keep track of all...

So this what a deflation economy is like. People don't want to do anything because they feel like whatever they do will be worthless in the near future.

I've retreated to doing stuff with my hands. Wokdwork, DIY, that kind of thing. At least for now and the foreseeable future that doesn't seem pointless. Only problem is it's hard work yet nobody would pay me for it.

I think the limit increasingly becomes what your imagination and taste can reach

  • True, but for many domains where my knowledge is limited, the LLMs beat me at imagination and taste too...

Can it? Last I checked, all my free software operating systems and browsers were still hacked together trash. I can't wait for AI to actually be good so I can spam a bunch of AGPL code with it.