Comment by minraws
11 hours ago
So AGI needs to be trained on something to work well on it. Lovely reasoning we have right here.
Delusion runs deep in HN circles.
I say that as someone heavily invested in AI startups and projects and as someone working in the field.
I think most people on HN should touch grass and find real human contact. Lmao
Incredible reasoning all around here.
An AGI doesn't stand for 'perfect intelligence' it stands for artificial general intelligence.
And no an AGI system doesn't need to play chess on a certain level to be disruptive to you and me and whole industries. It only needs to be as good as a person and cheaper.
Just because you define AGI as something it doesn't has to be,doesn't mean i need to touch grass.
This chess comparision is one of the most ignorant and stupid arguments i have heard after the parrot thing
On the contrary, I think the chess comparison is on point. We’re discussing observations that even the strongest models devolve into making invalid moves without scaffolding. For me that raises the question of whether these models are learning the rules and generalizing from them, or of they’re just pattern matching and flailing on this task. Maybe the reality is somewhere in between, but the benchmarks don’t seem to directly measure conceptual generalization, they measure task completion. They can disrupt a lot of people and industries by pattern matching and flailing without being AGI.
I’m sure these models know the rules and can explain them when prompted, but that doesn’t seem to be the way they actually complete this task. Will they get there? Maybe
Do you know what the "General" in "Artificial General Intelligence" means? It specifically means that the AGI adapts to novel domains that it hasn't been trained on - its training generalizes to real world problems.
That doesn't mean it has to be extraordinary at these things. But to be AGI, it has to have some level of competency when used on problems outside its training set. In particular, it the LLMs were to install a known chess engine and run that to get the moves when asked to play chess, that would qualify for more AGI-like behavior. But really, chess is such a simplistic game that they should be able to do decently well at it even without even needing that. At the very least, they should be able to consistently play without making illegal moves - something that many 7-year olds manage quite well.
AI bros: the LLM beats humans at solving Navier-Stokes and some old cypher. We are close to AGI
Also AI bros: LLM can’t beat an avg chess player. But that doesn’t mean anything. It doesn’t count
>LLM can’t beat an avg chess player.
Why should that matter?
If something has general intelligence it should be able to read the rules of a game and follow them. Therefore an artificial general intelligence (AGI) should be able to do this.
So we have a situation where very powerful and influential people are saying we will have AGI in 6 months (if we don’t already), yet the facts on the ground are so clearly pointing in the opposite direction.
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> Why should that matter?
Because we want to use this as a replacement for humans, and the average human can learn the rules of chess without needing to see the rules explained hundreds of thousands of times in millions of games.
So, yeah, it matters if a model has millions of examples of something in its training set and still cannot follow the rules.
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The fact that LLMs can play chess at any level is a strong indication we are in AGI.
This is roughly comparable to observing a cat batting a ball away with its paw and taking this as a "strong indication" that cats can play any sport.
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Can they if they frequently make illegal moves?
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No it isn't. Computers could play chess long before LLMs, better than LLMs can in fact. That didn't make them AGI.
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I'm stating that certain folks are trying to use the software-generating product as an AGI/ASI and then complaining when it doesn't play chess very well.
People are holding it wrong, deliberately or not. Some are inventing bad faith measures so they can claim AI sucks.
It's not even a "software-generating product". It's only half of it. Most of the heavy lifting is done by absolutely not-AI compilers, analyzers and the like. If not for these programs, written well before AI boom, them LLMs would be no better at programming than they are are at pure LLM based calculations or writing.
Then why respond at all for the sake of responding?
We all know AI can code, but the question it all stemmed from what if it's AGI or GM level in chess on it's own.
You can't just back pedal from the statement that apparently being able to code a chess engine is the same as being good at chess.
I can write a chess engine that beats Magnus Carlson without AI that alone neither makes me GM level or AGI or any of the other claims the above comments seem to be making?
He keeps posting with a particular type of tone.
He definitely needs to touch grass.
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I agree w/ this perspective. An agent with a harness that can run programs can solve a lot more than one without the harness. The AI system includes the harness, and it's not clear to me that AGI requires more than LLMs + code generation & execution are capable of.
So AI is AGI in fields where code can't solve anything?
Is code omnipotent, I have been in software all my life and I would hard agree here.
Sure stuff LLMs can do with being good at parts of code reproduction is incredible. And honestly it's the new way to do a lot of things but I have not see an iota of proof that it can scale across the board.
For instance Maths is just code with different symbols and slightly less universally legible concepts.
AI is the best invention at figuring out or walking the search space and directionally doing logically computation over general software adjacent stuff.
But that's it, I am certain a bunch of companies will make a lot of money despite no AGI.
I think people either don't understand AGI or don't understand how real world works.
Until an LLM can bow it's head take responsibility for mistakes made and ensure they aren't repeated again with 100% confidence to the leadership it's inarguably a tool a rather questionable one at that.