Comment by lukewarm707

recalling the exact phrasing, several senior people at anthropic made public statements agreeing a 10% chance of causing extinction in less than 10 years.

10% is uninsurable, priced in with ordinary treatment of risk it suggests that anthropic should be worth zero today. creating that risk would put every executive in jail.

on top of that it would demand under existing laws of conflict, a military campaign to destroy anthropic. that is not optional, it is demanded now to save lives.

hard to make comparisons but we mourned and rembered 9/11 recently. a 10% risk of hundreds of millions dead in 10 years would make anthropic a thousands of times greater threat than al qaeda. many countries would assassinate dario amodei and the leadership of anthropic now, within weeks or months.

actually just on the vague risk of having a nuclear weapon in 10 years, the USA killed ayatollah khamenei, his daughter, his son-in-law, his daughter-in-law and his 14 month old granddaughter. then, they killed over 120 children ages 6-12 by accidentally bombing a school.

in the sense that i would analyse a company, at least, the claim is false. it's not true that ai has a 10% chance of causing human extinction within 10 years.

they are making false claims about the technology they sell.

i have a fairly inflexible approach to that. sure, exaggerate but outright lies about the nature of the product don't work for me.