Comment by carefree-bob
13 hours ago
The dollar is not "backed" by a military. China has a huge military and no one uses the Yuan for third party trade. Why not? Because China does not run trade deficits that allow third parties to acquire the Yuan in the first place, it does not have open capital markets that allow third parties to store their surpluses in Yuan, and it does not have the investor protections that give investors confidence that they can pull their savings out whenever they want.
You know a nation that does have those things other than the US? Switzerland, which is why a lot of people use swiss Francs, even though Switzerland does not have a huge military. People need to stop reading Graber and others who have no economic training and don't understand global balance of payment accounting. Having a large military does not translate into people wanting your currency, otherwise China, North Korea, and Russia would have well used international currencies, rather than being forced to use the currency of their rivals.
The petrodollar system resolved the 70s inflation crisis after Nixon sent the head of the CIA to Saudi Arabia. The US military backed revolutionaries during the arab spring because the dead dictators wanted to start a pan-african currency with which to trade oil. Iran, Venezuela and Russia were under sanctions and treated as enemies in very big part because they were selling oil for other currencies than the USD.
The US dollar is propped up by constant US dollar liquidity related to the fact that you need it to trade significant quantities of oil with the vast majority of producers. That situation was held up by the US' military might. Starting shit with Iran and being unable to finish it means there's no reason for oil producing countries to keep financing american debt on the cheap. What are they going to do? Restrict their own access to crude?
There's more to it, but the USD for gas scheme is a big structural chunk of the financial house of card. You break that and the rest won't hold up very long. And it's not like other structural parts of what makes the USD the global reserve currency aren't getting eroded either. Fed independence stands there glaringly obvious.
Your points are valid. But there's a reason why dollar is "petrodollar" - when we say it's backed by US military it's really the axis of US-Israel-Saudi Arabia which control military as well as resources. People use US dollar not necessarily because they want, but because they have to. I also do not know who Graber is but I'll look it up.