Comment by tantalor

6 hours ago

"pacing the frontier" is code for downgrading your expectations of AGI.

Or, in parallel, the research showing LLMs intelligence will operate on an S-curve, eventually hitting a long valuation deflating plateau, is dead on the money and The Big Guys are trying to delay that inevitability for as many quarters as possible…

  • My hypothesis is that to date they've been increasing benchmark scores via scaling up, but now that low hanging fruit is basically picked.

  • These takes are fully fueled by cope. What is this plateau you are talking about? Any user of agentic coding tools sure isn't experiencing anything close to a plateau.