Comment by sebastos
4 days ago
As somebody working near the field, I do enjoy the fun of dreaming bespoke vision and autonomy algorithms (if I didn’t, I wouldn’t work in the field to begin with!). But I would drop it all in a heartbeat for a robot that works well. Robust, resilient robots would be such an incredible advance that the ‘how’ doesn’t matter. All of the nonsense from the current AI hype cycle would be worth it if it cashed out in Robots That Actually Work.
I can't wait for a robot that does my household chores and cleaning.
Not to mention construction, infrastructure, agriculture, manufacturing, logistics...
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AI hype cycle? It's working today.
It's optimizing ML model graphs for me while I type this, and it already cut inference time from 30s to 18s.
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Some people act like there was no way for the AI labs to make back the $800B being invested in data center construction this year.
If we look at global GDP, it's $126T, and even a 5% productivity gain would correspond to $6T.
Is that impossible? Is it guaranteed to all crash? I don't think so.
How do you justify all these data centers when models are becoming good enough to run locally and other models are being directly "burned" into chips (model on chip)? Open weight models are almost as good as the closed ones now and they are free/uncensored.
The only thing DCs will still be need for is training, everything else will be done locally on your own hardware.
This bubble will burst and it will be ugly.
Open models are still behind February's Mythos.
Whether they can narrow that gap in the future, or OpenAI and Anthropic widen the gap with access to more compute and their better models assisting in the research process, remains to be seen.
At this time I see no reason to believe these data centers won't be in high demand.
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Why do we need robots when we already have people?
> Why do we need robots when we already have people?
Is this a serious question? Use your imagination...
To do what people do, but cheaper seems to be what it boils down to.
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For dull, dirty, and dangerous jobs!
Seems to me that AI is coming for clean well paid office jobs long before it comes for anything dirty and dangerous.
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I just want a robot butler. It doesn't have to prove mathematics theorems, just do my laundry and make lunch.
Me too but unfortunately theorem proving seems to be easier than doing laundry.
Hire a housekeeper for 2 hours a day.
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