Comment by asdff

14 hours ago

>The winner or winners in the AGI race, they believe, will find the proverbial "pot of gold at the end of the rainbow."

The hubris of this is really astounding too. There is no technology out there that some company develops and has not been reverse engineered and copied and manufactured at scale by competitors before long. You can't stop this from happening. People will leave the company or be poached and proliferate what they have built in the past. Every country that wanted a nuke has a nuke, after all.

The only way to keep the secret fire from leaking out would be to have AGI's first move be to lock the doors and prevent anyone from ever leaving company property again.

Google's search has had a long run, and seems much less complex than LLMs.

  • It is much more complex than an LLM There are thousands of human written rules to efficiently determine a fundamentally subjective ranking order, running on a uniquely large corpus.

    Besides search is not a very good business: people are not inclined to pay for search, websites are averse to non-Google search crawlers, ads require an even larger over-investment in a top tier malware development, psychological manipulation, and statistics teams, while the real ad market is actually in a much more dire state than Google would like you to think.