Comment by someonebaggy 3 days ago If that's the case you should really buy that <1%. You have a 50% chance of 100xing your money. 3 comments someonebaggy Reply ceejayoz 3 days ago That would require these to be predictable.Which is the precise problem with the "prediction" markets writ large. Some things just... aren't. someonebaggy 3 days ago In what way is the outcome of a coin flip predictable? ceejayoz 3 days ago It is fairly predictably binary, barring an odd experimental setup.Versus, say, this sort of prediction market wisdom: https://imgur.com/a/pw5hW9x
ceejayoz 3 days ago That would require these to be predictable.Which is the precise problem with the "prediction" markets writ large. Some things just... aren't. someonebaggy 3 days ago In what way is the outcome of a coin flip predictable? ceejayoz 3 days ago It is fairly predictably binary, barring an odd experimental setup.Versus, say, this sort of prediction market wisdom: https://imgur.com/a/pw5hW9x
someonebaggy 3 days ago In what way is the outcome of a coin flip predictable? ceejayoz 3 days ago It is fairly predictably binary, barring an odd experimental setup.Versus, say, this sort of prediction market wisdom: https://imgur.com/a/pw5hW9x
ceejayoz 3 days ago It is fairly predictably binary, barring an odd experimental setup.Versus, say, this sort of prediction market wisdom: https://imgur.com/a/pw5hW9x
That would require these to be predictable.
Which is the precise problem with the "prediction" markets writ large. Some things just... aren't.
In what way is the outcome of a coin flip predictable?
It is fairly predictably binary, barring an odd experimental setup.
Versus, say, this sort of prediction market wisdom: https://imgur.com/a/pw5hW9x