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Comment by belowavgiq

20 days ago

True, let's put it this way then. In some time, there will be 1.2 billion >80 year olds and 100 million people under 18.

You see, I know it's hard to grasp for some, but everything is really relative.

This will in fact not happen. There are no models that result in 90% population depletion in less than 100 years

  • This is an hyperbole, yes. Replace the 100 million value with 300, 400, 500, and my point isnt going to change.

    • > Replace the 100 million value with 300, 400, 500, and my point isnt going to change

      Your ratios are all wrong. There are about 500mm Indians aged 6 to 26 today who will be over 80 (and under 100) by 2100. Even if nobody dies, India isn’t hitting 1.2bn 80-year olds. As for under-18s in that timeline, it ranges from 100 to 500 million depending on fertility.

      Put another way, there is no deterministic population collapse in India the way there almost must be in Korea and Germany.

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