Comment by AndrewKemendo
8 hours ago
To be clear I’m not saying he got everything right but if you look at the missed ones, many were/are possible technically
8 hours ago
To be clear I’m not saying he got everything right but if you look at the missed ones, many were/are possible technically
What’s the value of predictions if they’re not good enough to make decisions on?
The same way if you’re exploring an uncharted territory you generally pick a direction that has a hill so you can chart a better course to the next one
All the hills he suggested heading towards were the right hills even if he assumed they were higher in altitude than they were
More importantly the mountain that is the technological singularity he did a good job defining the hilly path for
AGI (strong AI in his words) is just one of the major foothills