Comment by simonw

15 days ago

They're doubling the price on December 1st: https://ai.google.dev/gemini-api/docs/pricing#gemini-4-argon

$2/million input and $10/million output today. $4/$20 after December 1st.

With the pace they're delivering models, there's gonna be 1-2 new Gemini 4 versions by December 1st, presumably with their own introductory price windows. We just got Gemini 3.8 on 2 September and Gemini 3.7 on 13 August.

  • This reminds me of telephone commercials that ran back around 1987, saying they were offering long distance calls for 10 cents a minute (a pretty good price back then) and -- this was emphasized, a huge selling point -- they guaranteed your rate would never go up. In retrospect, all the lols :-)

  • I wonder if that’s more to price in the cost of keeping old models around on expensive inference hardware. It’s not like old models get cheaper to run, and a more heterogeneous fleet is less efficient to manage.

  • Their last non-flash frontier release was 3.1 Pro back in February. Two new frontier releases at that pace would be Feb 2028.

  • December 1st is just ~6 weeks away. There's no way Google puts out even 1 more Gemini 4 version before then, let alone more than 1.

    • No they've been releasing models super rapid fire. Other companies too. 6.1 sol was barely a week after 6.0 sol

Opus 5.5 is also priced at $4/$20, but are they on the same level?

  • At that price I think you'd pick Opus 5.5.

    It's perhaps a face saving thing to pretend you'll charge the same. Let's see if it actually happens.

>$4/$20

Is Elon Musk doing their pricing?