Comment by jplusequalt

3 days ago

>until 1) software is saturated

Software has been saturated for a long time.

There are a bajillion apps on the app store that get little to no recognition. Most software startups fail to find a foothold and go under. An uncountable number of FOSS projects have been seen by at most a handful of people, and even fewer who have used/cloned the code.

"App store apps" seems like the last place I'd look to try and determine whether the software market is saturated. It's a niche, at best.

Each existing software solution having 10,000 clones is not the same as software being saturated. There are still unsolved problems.

that doesn't imply software as a whole is saturated.

does the world use more or less software YoY? (LLMs counts as software btw.)

the differentiating factors have changed but the underlying demand has only increased.