Comment by littlecranky67
4 days ago
It is a shock going through the industry, and we are just starting. I think future software engineers will need more training years and more unpaid time getting skilled. More like surgeons, who need almost 10 years of training until we actually let them operate on live patients.
Given that we are seeing a big retirement wave of the boomers, a lot of seasoned devs will retire in the next 10 years. So there should be enough demand, and a big enough paycheck for that decade long training to make its moneys worth.
assuming the productivity boost of AI to a senior developer is 10x, we might still have way more engineers than actually required for the next few decades. Also, seniors do not have to be boomers, and have a good thirty years ahead before retirement.