Comment by lifeisloving
1 day ago
Super intelligence has been a year away for three years according to these people. They all have bags they're protecting.
I dont think super intelligence will be here in a year, I think within a year AI/llms will have a similar sentiment surrounding them that NFTs do know (it already does for most normies). And most people will be recovering from a hype induced mania they lived in for two years straight.
Of course its more useful than NFTs, but when there's no giant bag to farm these hype monsters will inevitably disappear.
The bags are drying up fortunately and tokens/inference seems to be experiencing deflation, and hardware prices will eventually pop and contribute to further deflation, Then all the bag chasers will move back to crypto or whatever gets hot next.
I think you're not appreciating the work that Ajeya Cotra has done over the years. She really cares about timelines and existential risk.
Not everything is grift.
i cant even tell whats irony anymore
There is no existential risk, they are statistical models that predict words. The fact that anyone says this makes them instantly not credible. Anyone who does is either a grifter, psychotic or both.
>they are statistical models that predict words
And you people have been repeating this meaningless phrase for over six years now. But AI hasn't gone away, now has it? Progress is speeding up. Superintelligence is coming.