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Comment by guax

3 days ago

A lot of Venezuelans are happy about it.

Maduro is not good for Venezuela.

The US should not be the decider of who stays in power on another country.

The president should not have the power to apprehend a countries president IN THEIR COUNTRY without a process thats more than just "I really want it".

The US is giving another clear message that it does not care about global order, just global control. We're back in the 70s.

There is ZERO concern of the current US administration about the welfare of Venezuelans, its a power play, if maduro played by the US rules, he would be in power regardless of crimes. Pinochet, The Brazilian regime are all here as testament to that.

I hope the power change turns out better for the Venezuelans. I hope this is a catalyst of change for a better government. Ideally one that does not sell itself to the US for legitimacy. I don't think that is the likely outcome.

"We're going to run the country until such time as we can do a safe, proper and judicious transition"

And then a few seconds later: "US oil companies will go into Venezuela"

Never the US has been so honest around so many lies in the same speech.

I am still curious about the whole side bar about Washington being now safest and free of crime.

  • Yeah, I was mostly surprised about the brazenness of it all. So the plan is to take over the government, take over the oil industry, sell the oil and in infinite grace give the Venezuelans some part of it back (minus of course the "compensation" for the years in which US companies were kept out of the country)

    And all that as official doctrine, not even some secret strategy paper or covert ops campaign.

    Edit: I had to chuckle at his "reviewing" of the Monroe doctrine as DONroe doctrine. There is "on the nose" and there is "punching someone in the face"...

  • > Washington being now safest and free of crime

    I'd make the case it depends on who's defining what is and is not a crime.

    Consider that the POTUS is a 34x convicted criminal, and yet he not only has total freedom, he literally has the highest quality personal protection ecosystem on the planet, and so much more.

    So, who is the criminal here? Which are the crimes? And what is _actually_ going to happen?

    • The 34 crimes are these:

      - falsifying business records - 1st degree

      - falsifying business records - 1st degree

      - falsifying business records - 1st degree

      ...

      - falsifying business records - 1st degree

      https://www.scribd.com/document/737791944/Trump-verdict-shee...

      He was charged 34 times for the same payment, multiple times per check, because they were entered as payment for lawyer instead of hush money for porn star.

      "Falsifying business records" is a not a crime, unless it's done in the pursuit of another crime. The other crime was trying to influence the election (literally his job as a candidate). This is despite the fact that the books were cooked as payment to lawyer in 2017, after the election.

      Alvin Bragg, the person who convicted Trump, specifically ran on prosecuting Trump.

      It was entirely a political prosecution. If Trump had paid cash, he would have 10000x counts against him, one for each dollar bill.

      34x of 4 years means he could have been convicted for a maximum of 134 years. One count for 4 years wasn't enough, they had to give him more time than some serial killers.

      The judge specifically postponed the conviction after the election to see if he should receive prison terms or not. He absolutely would have had he lost.

    • > Consider that the POTUS is a 34x convicted criminal

      To be fair, they were political persecutions and show trials just so that people like you could write that sentence and help the Democrat Party keep the presidency.

      I’m not saying Trump is innocent in life, so don’t mistaken what I am saying for that. I am clearly and specifically saying that the 34 convictions are a joke and that only the gullible and the zealots buy into them.

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    • There are different categories of crimes and violations.

      You can call it "The penal code", "Common law", or "Crimes" (as opposed to violations).

      And in almost all countries in the world the list is the same and has been for hundreds of years: Murder, robbery, theft, rape, battery and so on.

      Do you think people walking the streets of Washington DC are less safe because of crimes such as those Trump was convicted of? Or are their main concern murder, robbery, theft, rape, battery and such?

      Edit: Of course my comment nets a hacker down vote instead of a discussion, but for example Nordic countries make a difference between "crimes" and "illegal things" in their laws. And so do South American countries.

      The United States has the "felonies" category, which is very comparable. But they also include victimless and non-serious crimes such as tax evasion and copyright infringement.

      14 replies →

  • The ironic thing is that nationalizing the oil was pretty much the most defensible part of Chávez's legacy.

    (To be clear I'm not a fan of Chávez or of Maduro.)

    • The policy that led to a collapse in oil production in a petro state? The policy that led to an economic collapse so severe that 20% of the population has emigrated? That's the policy you call defensible?

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    • Chavez actually did quite well in the early years. I'm not sure he nationalized oil but took greater amounts of the revenue in tax and used it for positive things for the people. It went downhill after a while with many of the problems common to communist policy though.

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  • He also indicated they will work directly with Maduro's second in command, not the putative winning candidate from the last election. This is purely about theft.

  • Not taking sides here, just trying to steelman: some Venezuelans might be so done with Maduro, that they consider US getting the oil profits to be a fair price.

    • This is all irrelevant - it's completely unacceptable for the US President to send the military into another without Congressional approval, and to kidnap a leader at all (especially without a declaration or war or UN authorization).

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    • Completely irrelevant what “some Venezuelans might” want and literally can be used to justify anything if you accept it as a premise.

      For example:

      Not taking sides here, just trying to steelman: some Americans might want to sell their relatives into sex trafficking.

    • Can you qualify “some Venezuelans” in any meaningful way?

      This framing implies that the US administration considered US or Venezuelan public opinion before taking this action.

      We have no evidence of that.

      4 replies →

    • Some Taiwanese will welcome china,

      Some ukrainians welcomed russia,

      some polish will welcome russia,

      some estonians will welcome russia

      etc etc etc.

      Look, you don't just regime change, It didn't work in Iraq, Libya, Afghanistan. It only really kinda worked in Kosovo, but even then it was touch and go, require lots of troop time and a load of money and ongoing international police.

    • “We will be greeted as liberators”

      Has not come to fruition for previous US regime change operations.

      This kidnapping operation doesn’t give insight one way or the other into the will of the Venezuelan people. It, in fact, completely disregards it.

    • if we’re going to steelman we have to acknowledge that many venezualans liked him too.

      we can’t simultaneously say we don’t like corruption of socialist governments while literally bombing another nation and imprisoning political enemies just so we can have its oil for our cronies.

    • Trump said Machado doesn't have support to be leader and endorsed Maduro's VP as willing to work with the US. It seems unlikely the Venezuelan people are going to see any benefits here. They will get more of the same.

      4 replies →

    • Trumps approval rating isn't great either but I doubt many people would see that as justification for another country kidnapping him in the middle of night to charge him with "has an army with machine guns" before taking American oil

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    • On top of that, I don't think the common Venezuelan laborer was getting much benefit out of the Maduro regime capturing the oil wealth. From the point of view of the less fortunate, there isn't much difference between a Venezuelan elite enriching themselves off the local oil vs an American elite enriching themselves off the local oil.

      18 replies →

  • I prefer this honesty over the unrealistic expectations the US set up in each Mid East country plus Afghanistan.

    • How about not going there at all for whatever reason, under any circumstances. And there are bigger issues at stake, no amount of drugs "made in Venezuela" inhaled by Americans can kill them as much as one North Korean Nuke.

      I'm surprised no lesson the US learnt from similar overthrows in the past, but again this is Trump. The country can get so unstable that by the time Marco start giving out "legitimate" orders, there will be 30 different groups fighting and killing each other. True unchecked anarchy. So what's then? Boots on ground. Are we still in the spirit of sacrificing 150,000 American soldiers in the name of freedom, like we did in Iraq? When we kicked out Russians from Middle East we were not aware they kept islam jihadists at bay, then Al Quaida came to live and we all now how it ended.

      21 replies →

  • How exactly will the US run the country? They have just one guy

    • It will not. Chavismo did not end with the death of Hugo Chávez. Nor will it end with the kidnapping of Nicolás Maduro.

    • Every time the puppet president fails to meet targets, they are executed by missile strike?

    • It should be one of the Trump kids to run it. Whichever one knows the most spanish. «¿Como hacer país muy bueno?»

      And Republicans won’t see a problem with that.

  • More quotes in that vein,

    > "We're going to have our very large United States oil companies go in, spend billions of dollars, fix the badly broken infrastructure and start making money for the country. And we are ready to stage a second and much larger attack if we need to do so."

    > "We're not afraid of boots on the ground if we have to have it"

    > "It's gonna make a lot of money"

    > "Well, you know, it won't cost us anything because the money coming out of the ground is very substantial"

    Reading @atrupar.com 's live transcriptions,

    https://bsky.app/profile/atrupar.com

    • The joke about joining the US military to protect a billionaires oil investments is now just publicly stated government policy apparently.

  • I think it’s normalization. If they can ignore Congress, lie to them, break American law, ignore international law, what’s to stop them from violating the constitution? It’s how they will ultimately deport 100 million Americans, like they proposed a few days ago on the DHS Twitter account. Don’t fix things through the political process - just ignore them and use military force.

  • > And then a few seconds later: "US oil companies will go into Venezuela"

    Venezuela is down to 1 million barrels per day, down from 3 million per day from the 2000s because of the sanctions after Hugo Chavez. They own the worlds largest reserve (about 300 billion barrels worth) and it was always my understanding that we worked with them before Hugo Chavez went the route he went and brought a great nation to shambles for a power trip.

    I think Venezuela will recover with our aid, but a lot of their old infrastructure is gone, they will need investors. They will also need to deal with their crime problem and hold real elections for once.

  • > I am still curious about the whole side bar about Washington being now safest and free of crime.

    I heard that as Trump doing his usual thing patting himself on the back while justifying the continued use of our military for domestic law enforcement.

    • Why is this downvoted? He never misses a chance to say its a good thing that the military is being used on the American population. The recent ruling against the use of the National Guard comes at a time when Kavanaugh is just upset that his name is going down in history for the term Kavanaugh Stops

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  • >>"We're going to run the country until such time as we can do a safe, proper and >>judicious transition"- And then a few seconds later: "US oil companies will go >> into Venezuela"

    The new President of Venezuela will be called Fulgencio Batista...

  • >ZERO concern of the current US administration about the welfare of Venezuelans

    I get the impression they are concerned at least a bit with the welfare of Venezuelans. Maybe a secondary consideration to drugs and oil but here's what Trump was saying:

    >We're going to run the country until such time as we can do a safe, proper, and judicious

    transition. So, we don't want to be involved with having somebody else get

    in. And we have the same situation that we had for the last long period of years. So we are going to run the

    country until such time as we can do a safe, proper and judicious

    transition. And it has to be judicious because that's what we're all about. We

    want peace, liberty, and justice for the great people of Venezuela. (https://youtu.be/cQdRlS4uf0E?t=3784)

> There is ZERO concern of the current US administration about the welfare of Venezuelans

100x times this!

US administration doesn't care about the welfare of most human beings in the world (including in the US).

We saw it in Iraq, Afghanistan, Lybia, Yemen and now Palestine. Having an assumption that this move was made for Venezuelans and now they're liberated from evil is wrong.

  • All those Mid East operations were way more for Israel than for the US. At least that's not a factor here.

    • Iraq was probably against Israel's interests. (Israel hates Iran, Iraq hated Iran. US taking out Iraq made Iran stronger which made Iran more threatening to Israel)

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    • The psyops online is quite amusing and insane, painting this as a victory for Venezuela. And weirdly by pro-Israeli account on Reddit.

      By now my radar assumes Israel is somehow connected like many other events we've witnessed in the past. Venezuelas president was quite staunchly against Israel and it's interests, close with Iran too.

      Israel is just an extension of the US in the middle east under the branding of Judaism. The desire is to weaken and eventually ignite the region in conflict. Already taking place between Saudi, UAE, Yemen etc. Weakening takes time.

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  • Funny list of countries. Ask women in Afghanistan how they were treated with US presence vs. now. Ask jews in Palestine how Hamas treated them vs. Israel. Ask people in Yemen how they are living right now, but be sure to talk to them directly instead of writing to them, because barely anybody there can read. Their leaders just love them so much, they don't want them to read any bad news.

    • If you ask women in Afghanistan you will hear different views. People in the cities had a better life during the American occupation but in rural Afghanistan women were often worse off than under the Taliban. The US propped up warlords, some of them real monsters, and those controlled a lot of the country side. There was no good side in Afghanistan and the US should have stayed out, instead of propping up one group of oppressors to try to defeat another.

      4 replies →

    • I don't think I understand what your point is? Are you implying that the US should have what? Stayed in Afghanistan forever? What solution would you have proposed there?

I see a lot of people posting about a lot of Venezuelans being happy that Maduro is out, and many using that as providing moral justification for the action. But this seems murky to me. If say the majority of the US population would be happy if trump is gone, does that justify some other country coming in and kidnapping him (leave aside the ability and consequence of this)? It doesn't seem like it.

  • > But this seems murky to me.

    It looks like propaganda. Day after, and then all the American news sites post stories about Venezuelans celebrating? Looks like propaganda. Almost no dissenting stories, no real discussion. Blackhawks and missiles at night, and hooray, spontaneous street parties, and news reporters just happen to be there to capture their "spontaneous" rejoicing. Reuters, Bloomberg, ABC, NBC. Rejoicing, dreams of democracy, yatta. CBS seems like one of the only sites that actually carried somewhat balanced coverage of people burning US flags, and no to American war.

  • They may not be happy with him now, but they did vote for him. Can't say the same about Maduro.

    • My vote had absolutely zero impact on the election, and I haven't been able to vote for a person I actually liked, supported, and believed represented my interests in any national US election.

      I'm mostly wouldn't like an external coup because it'd activate all my neighbors and we see a whole lot of violence in that struggle. I imagine I'd feel the same way if I lived in another country and some 3rd party deposed my government for arbitrary reasons.

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    • I think Maduro almost certainly cheated. All history and our current geopolitical relationships indicate that does not matter to the US unless you oppose them.

      Even pretending to follow international law when you don’t actually do so is, to some small degree, support for international law. What the US did is essentially state kidnapping of the sitting head of an another state. This is going to be vastly more stabilizing than Maduro cheating.

> The US should not be the decider of who stays in power on another country.

As opposed to what? Who "should" be the decider? China? Russia? Maduro? The Venezuelan Military?

The alternative is not that Venezuelans choose who stays in power democratically. The alternative, as we just saw until now, is that the Maduro dictatorship maintains power through force.

  • You seem to think US did this because Maduro was a dictator. They themselves clarified it's because of oil.

    Why they don't attack Saudi Arabia then? Saudi's even had a role in 9/11.

    Decades of lies shaped the narrative that all invasions US do is because countries have dictators, it's being the narrative even now when they explicitly say it's because of oil.

    • They didn't do it because of oil (well to take for ourselves). They did it because Venezuela has been cozying up way too much to Russia and China, and sending both of them a lot of oil.

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    • Oh, I don't think the US should just topple all dictatorships!

      If the US could press a button and have all dictatorships automatically become stable, liberal democracies, I'm pretty sure they would do that and we'd all be happy.

      But the US cannot just topple the government of all dictatorships at once. If it tried that, it would just cause immense chaos, and all those countries would unite against the West.

      The US has to ally with some dictatorships against other dictatorships, like it did with the USSR against the Nazis and how it does with Saudi Arabia against Iran.

      Iran hates us since the Islamic Revolution (when we supported the Shah), and finances multiple terrorist groups such as Hesbollah, Hamas and the Houthis. Saudi Arabia is a dictatorship, but at least it's not a revisionist state (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Revisionist_state) and has a more peaceful objective towards its neighbors.

      If the US refused to ally with dictatorships, the only country in the entire Middle East that it could ally with is Israel. It would have to fight all other countries at once.

  • As hard as it is to watch a people suffer a dictatorship; that's the Venezuelan's task, not the US's, not Russia's and not China's.

    International law clearly states that a sovereign nation has the right to self-rule, without external intervention. The UN Charter doesn't differentiate between democractic and non-democratic nations - it's up to the people of a nation to select their leadership.

    We've seen this principle violated before, when the Ukrainian people took the streets for months to topple their leader in 2014. Russia to this day takes this as an excuse to question Ukrainian sovereignty, framing the events as a "US coup" to justify their violent invasion of Ukraine.

    The argument you make just plays in their hand. "There was a violent coup - we need to remove the coup government and bring back democracy to Ukraine", they say. Because in your framing leaves open who gets to decide what it means to be democratically legitimized.

    What if the US decides that it will not recognize the government of Denmark as democratically elected and moves to liberate the people of Greenland from their despotic dictatorship?

    You're argument opens the door for unlimited military intervention.

    • I think you have some good points, but you take it too far. The UN charter is the way it is not because it's the optimal approach, but because non-democratic countries had too much power for it to be otherwise.

      As an example, the American Revolution had support from France, the Netherlands, and Spain. Britain saw this as shocking interference in an internal matter, as did loyalists in America.

      Personally, I think it was a good thing, helping a people determine their own fate. Applying the same measure here, I simultaneously think it's great Maduro is out, but that the manner of it is terrible. As well as being foolishly shortsighted, both for the US and the world more broadly.

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    • My read of your argument: international law says don't intervene in foreign government, and by intervening we legitimize future violence.

      I'm not sure this argument makes sense. Maduro stole an election to force his way to dictatorship, is widely blamed for running the country into mass poverty, and continues to hold onto power through threat of violence. The Venezuelan people don't have any recourse here.

      Also, in your example of Ukraine you indicate that Russia frames the uprising as a "US coup", suggesting that the reality of whether there even was external involvement isn't so important.

      Even so, if some nation tried to use this strike on Venezuela as further justification for violence wouldn't they be violating the same international law you cite anyway?

      Obviously the US has a rough track record of replacing foreign governments (a much stronger argument against this kind of act IMO), but so far this mission has looked pretty ideal (rapid capture of Maduro, minimal casualties, US forces instead of funding some rebel group). There is opportunity for a good ending if we can steward a legitimate election for Venezuela, assist with restoration of key institutions (legal, police, oil), and we avoid any deals regarding oil that are viewed as unfair by the Venezuelans.

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    • > The argument you make just plays in their hand

      Who cares? What are they going to do about it?

      > Because in your framing leaves open who gets to decide what it means to be democratically legitimized.

      That was already the case. Our enemies don't care about the concept of hypocrisy. They aren't waiting for some moral high ground. They are going to do what they want to do regardless.

      > You're argument opens the door for unlimited military intervention.

      No it doesn't. If it is bad to invade somewhere, we can simply not do that. And we can judge this based on the situation and the consequences.

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    • > International law clearly states that a sovereign nation has the right to self-rule, without external intervention. The UN Charter doesn't differentiate between democractic and non-democratic nations - it's up to the people of a nation to select their leadership.

      I really wish people would accept that political realism is how the US really operates, rather than buying into the fantasy that there is some rules based order and quoting the UN Charter.

      > The argument you make just plays in their hand.

      Any argument made on this site by anyone here will have absolute no effect on the outcome in anyway. That has been the case for all of human history and will never change.

    • Not to justify what happened here, but your argument would mean that the US would likely have remained a British colony given that French intervention on behalf of the colonies was a contributing factor to the success of the revolutionary war. It also would heavily imply that once the allied forces had beaten the Nazi's back behind German borders, that they should have stopped there. An extreme non-interventionist policy might be the best default policy, but it is implicitly an endorsement of might makes right as well. There are almost certainly times when a country should feel justified in intervening in another country's "regime change", but those times should be very carefully considered and (IMO) never ever viewed as a first or easy step, only a last (or nearly last) resort.

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    • Ukraine was a US coup too, decades of involvement. Otherwise, either Russia wouldn't have invaded, or US wouldn't have been afraid to directly fight Russia over it. The sad reality is that countries in this situations will get captured or proxied by someone or another if they don't play things exactly right.

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  • There are many alternatives to a unilateral unconstitutional action by a convicted felon.

    Anything multilateral for starters, and involving multilateral nonviolent interventions first.

  • You… What?

    How can you say that like it’s a real argument? You’re REALLY, in 2026, defending that the US is “bringing democracy” to other countries by force?

    I… How?

  • You have to think of the long-term consequences of blatantly abandoning the rule of (international) law for might makes right. The end doesn't justify the means.

    Not to mention that the "end" here is first and foremost enriching the administrative "elite" and extending their power. If they cared about democracy, they'd stand firmly behind Ukraine instead of humoring Russia.

I think a coup was forming regardless. Fort Tiuna where Maduro was is not near the coast. So basically no one heard/saw/detected the US forces coming that far inland. Also, most importantly, no one stopped them from leaving with their president.

The whole "we got him" is a bit fishy. I think the Venezuelan military (and the current vice president) wanted Maduro out. A coup would have been messy. So the US comes in and does them a favor.

  • One can look at the shadow of drug boat strikes and reasonably conjecture that there are some undisclosed collaborative relationships.

  • Part of the function of the fleet sitting off the coast for the past month would have been first intimidating then cultivating relationships with collaborators. Collaborators are far easier to find if there's a credible chance that things are about to change.

If it's fair game to do this in Venezuela, it's fair game here in the US.

  • That's not really how power works

    • If that is you actual view of society, than you reject the concept of law itself. Just because people are able to act against the law (and get away with it) doesn't make law obsolete. In fact if they wouldn't act against it, there would be no reason to have a law.

  • And to be fair nearly happened in July 2024 as the last item of a long list of incident involving U.S. Presidents starting from Lincoln all the way up to the July 2024 episode and of course the last successful hit being JFK in 1963 and the last successful injury being the one suffered by Ronald Reagan

  • [flagged]

    • Isn't that the case though? Where's the separation of powers or the rule of law in the US?

      To be clear, I'm not favoring any kind of such action, just holding the honesty of the statement.

    • Socialism = tyranny? Wow. I guess you prefer the freedom of being bankrupted if you get injured, and getting taken by masked men from an unmarked van if you got some tan on your vacation, and then dropped to El Salvador.

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Its all about the oil.

  • Yeah, Trump directly said it multiple times throughout his speech today.

    • At least he's honest, even if it's more like he lacks an effective filter. "bannana republics" and "bigger gun diplomacy" don't quite describe Trumps approach to foreign policy. One thing i can say about the operation is that it's a lot cheaper and less bloody then a ground invasion.

      Someone should tell him Iran has loads of oil and China is getting it all...

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IMO this has nothing to do with Maduro. This is just the first step. It is about the US securing large reserves of oil. Don't get caught into the propaganda.

  • The US doesn’t need large reserves of oil. The US is an energy exporter. The country is limiting investment in solar and wind, ON PURPOSE.

    This is crony capitalism. This is Trump shoring up support from oil companies.

    Mr Trump has purposefully depressed the value of non-petroleum energy sources in the US, which props up the value of US oil Producers and processors.

    And now, This is a territory takeover by a mafia don, so he can hand favors to other rich guys. Maduro wasn’t doing the deal Trump wanted, so this is what Trump did.

    If solar and wind were thriving in the US (as they could be!) then this new oil territory would be worth less. That’s why Trump hates wind. He cannot convert clean energy into a benefit for himself.

    It’s not about drugs or fentanyl. It’s not about democracy or corrupt elections in VZ.

Alas, we're back to 1989. Bush did the same to Noriega in Panama when he stopped playing ball with the CIA.

> We're back in the 70s

To be fair we did almost exactly this in 1989 in Panama [1].

[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_invasion_of_Pana...

  • On the relative upside, Panama was a 10X smaller country. The US had some long-term skin in the game with the Canal. And Bush Sr. was in the Oval Office - making it not-too-hard to imagine that sane grown-ups were in charge.

    Vs. "70s" sounds far more like Vietnam. And a whole load of other bigger/uglier/longer conflicts, under Presidents whose moral and military leadership seemed rather lacking.

Cuban forces with the help of Russia, Iran and China took control of Venezuela over 25 years ago, effectively looting that nation, and no one bitched about it.

Given his 0/2 track record on targeted prosecutions I wonder what the chance is that Maduro wins in court. What the hell would happen then?

As a brazilian, could you clarify what you mean by "The Brazilian Regime"?

Genuine question, the decades long dictatorship backed by the US military in 64 or the recent pressure Trump made to try and put Bolsonaro back into power despite his crimes?

It is so crazy that he is not turning around and putting the World Peace Prize winner in place. Everyone can get behind that and it is probably the fastest way to getting oil companies in there anyway.

There's no power change, the core of your whole post is wrong

All of Maduro's people are still in power and the president just said the woman who actually won the vote is not suitable to be in charge

Good luck with the US running another country when we are cratering ourselves

Impeach him and send him to the Hague for trial if this was so justified

BTW they are now talking about Cuba, we are headed for WW3 by 2028

  • Apparently, the Venezuelan vice president has sold out her country or is acting out of duress because she has allegedly offered full cooperation with the US. That could be a viable way to a US-led military/CIA dictatorship there, if the Venezuelan military and police around her allows it to happen. She seems to be in the line of succession. That seems to be the current "plan."

    • Yes, she has no democratic base since Maduro took power via election fraud. Watch the media to see if they just copy the feeds from the press agency, or that they will do the work they should actually be doing and put what-is-actually-going-on in focus.

      The fourth estate xor corporate media.

> There is ZERO concern of the current US administration about the welfare of Venezuelan

Depending on how cynical you are, you could say that all American administrations are like that. (I don’t think that’s quite true—I think Reagan/Bush had a genuine ideological vision of using foreign policy to promote democracy and capitalism around the work. But it’s certainly a common criticism.)

Maduro stole the election and no one in Venezuela could do anything about it. How exactly was Venezuela going to take care of it themselves?

Ultimately it's going to be outside actors, and no matter who it was, even the UN, Venezuela could just say we don't recognize your authority and nothing would happen

> Ideally one that does not sell itself to the US for legitimacy. I don't think that is the likely outcome.

Lol this is already proven false.

The put the Vice President in power who is now coincidentally supporting what the US is doing, including sending oil companies in to as Trump put it “sell oil to the Chinese”.

Trump also did not even inform the armed services or foreign affairs committees. He spoke to FOX before he spoke to Congress. It is not clear if he's done or if we just declared war. His public statement that the US will now be majorly involved in Venezuelan oil is both very telling and very mysterious. How the hell are we going to assert power over their industry without foisting a new, friendlier government?

>ZERO concern of the current US administration about the welfare of Venezuelans

Neither was doing that with other countries they ransacked. The other was pouring enough propaganda at you so that you think it is somehow different.

Easiest path from here on for the US is to cooperate with existing power structures in the resources grab/"sharing" + forcing some concessions, like increased efforts to fight against drug trafficking.

Why couldn’t this be resolved using the international institutions we already have? What needs to change?

  • > Why couldn’t this be resolved using the international institutions we already have?

    They’re dead and have been for decades. The reason is they had no enforcement arm.

  • The institutions work if all countries abide by their rulings. The US doing this sort for things is destroying the institutions we have, chief of all the UN and the ICJ, put in place at the end of World War 2 to avoid a repeat. We have not learned.

    • JFK tried to build up international institutions on the basis that "Those who foolishly sought power by riding the back of the tiger ended up inside", but then both he and NSK got cancelled...

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  • That would be the UN. The last time the UN invaded a nation was in 1950. That happened because the Soviet Union boycotted the UN, so it wasn't able to veto it.

    For the UN to ever fix a international issue it would require that country to anger all 5 UN powers. Venezuela has Russia and China on its side, so nothing would have happened.

Don't celebrate early. It's all a Hollywood plot, just like 911. Only the innocent suffer

It's debatable - to put it mildly - whether Maduro is the legitimate president of Venezuela.

>> There is ZERO concern of the current US administration about the welfare of Venezuelans,

I don't think this was a humanitarian mission. I'm speculating from Trump's perspective, Maduro was a major de-stabilizing factor. The Western world also seems to tacitly agree that the man had to go -- I don't think Maria Machado's recent Nobel Peace Prize was coincidence.

  • Maduro was a figurehead. The rest of the inner circle of that government is still running things.

Conceptually, tariffs could help manufacturing. The policy Trump actually enacts, massive and unpredictable tariffs on manufacturing inputs, turns out to destroy manufacturing. Conceptually, removing Maduro might help the people of Venezuela…

“ The US should not be the decider of who stays in power on another country.”

This is a new opinion. What is your basis for not believing might makes right in an anarchic system?

They brought a lot of drugs into the US, don't ignore that. The drugs are destroying the US teens.

> if maduro played by the US rules, he would be in power regardless of crimes

This is the key. Trump loves dictators, no matter how they got into power. As long as they give him what he wants or he's afraid of them.

  • No, he just plays politics like you must in a complex world of 185 countries, many of which are run by dictators or dictator-like figures.

    • Must? its a choice. Even more of a choice when you're on top.

      Trump might not have a choice not because they don't exist, but because he is incapable of understanding them. He's clear on not believing in win/win scenarios.

Perhaps people forget that countries are sovereign and can do whatever they want. The "global order" has always been based on strength: the stronger do what they want and the weaker do what they can.

What the US have just done is not something new because of Trump.

We are told about "international law" and "norms" so much that we perhaps forget that this is mostly BS.

  • This is the attitude that permits world wars. In the aftermath of WW2, a lot of people genuinely believed in the power of international law to prevent WW3. Now, it seems like a ton of people think that's just BS, and the fact that so many people think that is what makes it BS. If a strong majority of people actually believed in international law, it would be "real".

    I guess sometimes you just need WW3.

    • "It's in your nature to destroy yourselves"

      The people who actually experienced (either directly fighting in, or living through it) have already died or are rapidly dying out.

      We have no concept of just how horrifying a world war would be.

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    • > > If a strong majority of people actually believed in international law, it would be "real".

      International law has always been BS, what works is fear of retribution by the offended party or retribution from the observers thinking they might be next and getting together to enact preventive measures

    • If international law had any effect people would believe in it. You're mixing cause/effect. This situation has been going on for years and the lack of response by international organizations makes people lose all confidence in them.

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    • It is not an attitude. It is a statement of fact.

      "International law" are voluntary agreements but countries remain sovereign. The only way to force something is to have bigger guns and/or more economic power than the other countries and, as it happens, the US are #1 on both.

      Edit: The best protection we have against WWIII is not "international law", it's that the big guys can instantly nuke each others.

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  • You forget that the cold war wasn't won by the US alone. But by the alliance systems which centered around the US.

    The US is no longer a credible partner, and without coalition forces the recreational wars in the 2000s would have been a lot less "fun".

    I'm not so sure you want a global order based on strength. You don't want small countries with little to loose arming do with nukes. But voting for it is suddenly very attractive.

    • That's interesting because the post-WWII Western alliance system at large is largely born of the US military and economic might: most of those countries were invaded by the US and then helped economically by the US. Obviously a commom adversary (the communists) helped but it was, and still is "led" by the US for a reason.

      The global order is based on strength, both military and economic strength. I am just stating the obvious here.

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  • People commit crimes despite it being illegal. That doesn't make laws "BS".

    And yes, this is not something new. It is something old. It is something that we have left behind us and Donald Trump should therefore be condemned.

    • You and I are subject to the law. This is not voluntary and it will be enforced against us by the state.

      On the other hand, countries are sovereign. They are not subject to "laws", and if they do it is on a voluntary basis. Ultimately it boils down to military and economic strength for a country to be able to stand its ground and do what it wants. We never left this behind, this has always been the case.

      From the replies it seems that commenters believe that countries are subject to "laws" the same way that they are...

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Forget Venezuela, this is a major problem for America. Marco Rubio and Pete Hegseth lied to Congress a couple weeks ago when they explicitly said that this is not about regime change. Entering an illegal war, committing acts of international piracy, and pledging to take over another country’s resources is completely illegal and a violation of American laws as well as international laws.

And right now, the entire right wing is cheering on this situation. These are people who wanted an isolationist America that does not start new conflicts. Spineless Republican senators and legislators are staying quiet as they allow this horrific dictatorial action to go on without any criticism. And meanwhile, tech billionaires like Elon Musk are continuously tweeting sycophantic support for this illegal act of state terrorism.

How will America recover? Its political system is broken. And its international reputation is shattered.

  • You should read how the international press received this. They're openly wondering if Trump has gone insane.

    • I’m wondering if the entire right wing has gone insane. Watching Elon Musk tweet a bunch of racist stuff for several days, followed by weird pro white ethnicity posts, followed by several fawning posts about how this attack was a good thing, is pretty shocking. But also the open hypocrisy of all of these everyday people in social media who have been saying they have not voted for more wars, now turn around completely and say that this war is OK is pretty shocking. And all of the other Republican politicians are either silent or basically claiming that the president has the full authority to do whatever he wants, is also pretty shocking.

      I’m sure it is easy to say that this is what everyone should have expected, but I feel like the conduct has gone well past what people expected. The scary thing is I don’t think it will be easy to do something about this. Half the country thinks everything that is happening is completely justified and completely legal. And in practice that means it is effectively legal. So are there any remaining checks and balances that are functioning?

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  • > And right now, the entire right wing is cheering on this situation. These are people who wanted an isolationist America that does not start new conflicts.

    Well, they said they wanted that. But maybe Trump wasn’t lying to them as much as lying alongside them.

> A lot of Venezuelans are happy about it.

Which Venezuelans? I ask because this exact same argument was used to justify the many failed assassination attempts, the Bay of Pigs debacle and sanctions on Cuba where many Cuban Americans were anti-Castro.

Now that might've been true but consider the source: many Cubans in America fled when Batista was ousted or in response to that. A famous example of that is Rafael Cruz, the father of Senator Ted Cruz. Ted Cruz famously said he hates communism because his father was tortured... by Batista [1]. And it's a failure in journalism that he wasn't challenged and lambasted for this idiotic take.

There are a lot of Venezuealsn in the US who justifiably fled the chaos there. But why was it chaotic? The US will try and tell you it's because of Maduro. But what about the sanctions? As a reminder, sanctions are a nice way of starving "we're goign to starve you and deny you medicine in the hopes you do what we want to the administration we can't otherwise topple".

Also, the US doesn't actually care about any of the crimes they accuse Maduro of. This is the same country who deposed Allende and installed Pinochet into Chile, who was a brutal dictator. That too was about resources. Oh and let's not forget Iran, who had their democratically elected government deposed to install yet another brutal dicator, the Shah, in 1953, again for oil. Or the United Fruit Company in Guatemala. The list goes on. This happens so much there's a Wikipedia page on it [2].

So, for anyone who celebates this (and I mean this generally, not at the commenter I'm responding to), you will see no benefit for this. A few billionaires will get richer, probably. The US was probably pour countless billions into supporting some puppet, probably Machado but we'll see. And I would be surprised if the lives of Venezuelans gets any better.

And if the lives of Venezuelans does actually get better, it's probably by lifting sanctions and you should be asking why we were starving them in the first place.

As a reminder, the US knows the effects of sanctions. When confronted by a report on sanctions killing 500,000 Iraqi children in 1996, then UN Ambassador and later Secretary of State responded [3]:

> “We have heard that half a million [Iraqi] children have died. I mean, that is more children than died in Hiroshima,” asked Stahl, “And, you know, is the price worth it?”

> “I think that is a very hard choice,” Albright answered, “but the price, we think, the price is worth it.”

[1]: https://www.youtube.com/shorts/I2AdbLDVb0Q

[2]: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_involvement_in_r...

[3]: https://www.aljazeera.com/opinions/2022/3/25/lets-remember-m...

  • > Which Venezuelans?

    All which are currently in foreign countries and are free to express their voices without fear of prosecution. I live in spain with my venezuelan girlfriend, and everybody here from her venezuelan bubble is celebrating and cheering - hoping this is a first step towards freedom. You can turn on your TV to "rtve Telediaro", it is a spanish 24h news channel where they also show venezuelan expats getting together and celebrating from within spain. Other cities in latin america are the same, just watch some news channels from the spanish-speaking world.

    They were probably also cheering in the streets in the US, if they weren't afraid of ICE deportations.

    • Because that worked out so well for the people of Chile (under Pinochet). And Libya (post-Gaddafi). And Iran (1953 onwards). And Iraq (post-Saddam).

      Whatever your (valid) criticisms of Maduro, it's important to remember that:

      1. The US was intentionally starving Venezuela through sanctions. If conditions improve because the sanctions now get removed, it's not because Maduro is gone. It's because Venezuela's oppressor (the US) just stopped opressing (as much).

      Let me put it this way. If I take all your people and put them into a ghetto in Warsaw and build a giant fence around it, letting nothing in or out. And I then decide to let food in once you've given me all your valuables or given up some leader and you now have something to eat, I'm still not the good guy because I later let food in after looting your people and I'm still responsible for starving you in the first place.

      2. 20+ years ago the US would lie and say they're doing this to spread democracy and that the people would welcome them as liberators. This was the exact script for Afghanistan and Iraq. Even though it was all about oil they'd never say that. Now they don't even pretend. Trump has outright said that it's about oil and they're going to govern until a suitable puppet is put in place, who will let Western companies loot Venezuela's natural resources.

      So good luck with the coming brutal dictatorship and kleptocracy your girlfriend and her countrymen are now celebrating.

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  • I'm a Venezuelan in the USA and I think what happened is an absolutely illegal travesty. Trump and his acolytes are nothing better than criminal thugs and this needs to be fought and protested.

    • Are you suggesting Maduro should be restored to power in Venezuela? Would that be good or bad for Venezuelan's (regardless of what happens with oil or anything else). Would you be willing to live in Venezuela under Maduro?

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  • Cubans would be much better off today if Bay of Pigs had succeeded. Venezuela is so bad that around 20% of the population emigrated.

    • Tell that to the Chileans who endured Pinochet, Iranians who endured the Shah and the Ayatollah and likewise for Iraq, Afghanistan, Libya, Guatemala, etc.

      All a puppet would've done was be a brutal dictator who suppressed and disappeared anyone who resisted while enabling Western companies to loot the natural resources and the local populace would see no benefit from that at all.

      You might say that Cubans would be better off if Castro had been deposed. Is that because you'd expect the sanctions to be removed? If so, the problem is the sanctions. You're basically saying "you would've been better off if you let me install a puppet dictator and loot your natural resources because then at least I would've stopped intentionally starving you".

      And if you can't see the problem with that statement, well, I'm not sure what to say.

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  • > Oh and let's not forget Iran, who had their democratically elected government deposed to install yet another brutal dicator, the Shah, in 1953, again for oil.

    It was about the Soviet Union. The British convinced the US that Mosaddegh was going to align himself with the Soviet-proxy communist party (Tudeh) to stay in power. The British, on the other hand, did it because Iran had nationalized British oil fields. The US' oil interests were in Saudi Arabia.

    Also the way people describe this is rather twisted. The Shah was not installed by the US. The Shah had been in power since 1941. He was installed by the British, same as his father. The coup replaced Mosaddegh with Fazlollah Zahedi, not the Shah.

    Moreover, Mosaddegh's government was not remotely democratically elected. There's a rather in-depth State department memo from the era that describes how those "elections" worked in Iran which made clear that the people voting had little to do with who won. Elections were full of ballot stuffing, bribery and just outright manipulation by pretty much everyone - the Shah, Mosaddegh, Tudeh, foreign governments, etc. [1]

    Plus, Mosaddegh had halted Parliamentary election counting early to prevent more opposition from getting elected risking his majority (his party controlled the more urban areas of Iran which finished "counting" earlier). He began ruling with emergency powers and jailing his opposition. That led to mass resignations in Parliament - to the point where they couldn't even form a quorum. Mosaddegh then dissolved Parliament and granted himself full dictatorial powers and ruled by decree after another sham election where 10% of the population "voted."

    And it's at this point that the coup happened. The Shah, using his power under Iran's constitution, wrote a letter dismissing Mosaddegh. He was replaced with Fazlollah Zahedi and the Shah started to take a far more active role in government.

    [1] https://history.state.gov/historicaldocuments/frus1951-54Ira...

    • This is not accurate.

      Mosaddeq sought fairer royalties for oil from what is now BP but what was then the AIOC after decades of tension and a decrease in Iran's royalties (with increasing British revenues) in the 1940s, ultimately culminating in the nationalization of AIOC in 1951 [1].

      Relations deteriorated. Britain isolated Iran through sanctions and oil embargoes. The US sided with Britain but initially rebuffed attempts at a coup, I believe initially under Truman but Eisenhower was also initially reluctant.

      Britain did argue that nationalization of oil and other British interests in Iran was Soviet-led and made an argument to Eisenhower's SEcretary of State that a coup was in the interests of fighting communism, something the administration was likely more receptive to given the Truman doctrine and "containment". The Korean War was ongoing at the time.

      So did Britain argue this was to fight commmunism? Yes. Was it really? No. It was about Britain's oil interests and colonial ambition. It was no more about fighting communism than invading Iraq in 2003 was about spreading democracy.

      Fears of the USSR played a much bigger role in the 1979 Revolution where the US got their then ally, Saddam Hussein, to release the Ayatollah Khomenei from prison to try and make Iran fundamentalist rather than falling into the Soviet sphere of influence.

      As for any election abnormalities, nobody cares about that. Like, at all. It's undeniable that Mossadeq was immensely popular in the early 1950s for his stance that Iranian oil should benefit Iranians, first and foremost, rather than a colonial power.

      [1]: https://www.ebsco.com/research-starters/history/iran-nationa...

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  • I think most people agree about Maduro being horrible to Venezuela, but this has nothing to do with that. If this is legitimized, any president can be kidnapped by the US at will. This is a very dangerous precedent which a lot of people will regret when the bully turns against them and not their enemy.

    • Well for starters he quite clearly stole the election so he is not even the legitimate President. Beyond this he faces indictment for a large number of crimes in the United States and has been extradited to face trial for them.

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    • A country indicted a foreign leader for crimes their nation will not prosecute.

      Just the other day, half of the Maduro supporters here on HN were expressing outrage over US interference regarding just this the same thing, in a reversal of principles and roles. What we are witnessing on this board is a raw demonstration of politics and power. Who or what principle you support merely depends on where folks sit.

      Both sides of this debate make fair points-- what's regrettable is that so many participants seem unwilling or unable to recognize they are reflexively taking the position opposite the US, or Israel and lack any sounder organizing principle.

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  • I would advice them to get ready for what comes next, past experience says it will not be good.

    • yeah it feels like the sort of thing that will go sideways easily, I get the "optimistic" angle who doesn't love strong men being removed from power, but it seems more like a recipe for civil war that we're forced to be heavily involved in

      will all of the military and paramilitary forces there suddenly become to compliant? will other nations try to turn it into a proxy war to drag the us down possibly as payback for Ukraine?

      maybe everyone moves on I have no idea, I'd personally rather just not be involved

  • Sorry, can't trust claims from a brand new account created in response to a contentious political event. I saw a lot of non-organic stuff like this when the US invaded Iraq too.

  • Reasoning like this is part of the reason why history keep repeating itself. Completely ignoring how previous US led decapitations turned out, and just hoping this time will be different.

    It should not be contentious at this point, the US only cares about the geopolitical value of Venezuela, and if supporting another dictator helps towards this end, then that's what will happen.

    • The sheer ignorance . To form such an opinion, with such confidence and literally the only grounding is a few women he/she has dated. We are living in an idiocracy.

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    • Dude, theres not much point in arguing that. You see this kind of 5th column in the aftermath of most popular revolutions, from Iran to Chavez in Venezuela. A whole horde of folks who were part of the previous elites (or more likely, their functionaries) who decamp en masse to the US, where they proceed to spout unhinged propaganda ad infinitum.

      A tell tale is how they tend to completely overlook (to the point of pretending it isnt happening) the role of economic sanctions, blockades & other forms of coercive pressure on the economies of those countries. Instead, putting it all down to local actions by local actors.

      There won't be much mention of any of the social improvements & economic uplift which Chavez in particular was able to do, before the external economic pressures became overbearing.

      When you can control the narrative on both sides of the equation to this extent, kidnapping the leader of a sovereign (until today) country seems almost normal.

      Jeffery Sachs summed it up best a couple of hours ago. The US is not even pretending to be a constitutionally-governed state any more, and this is just 1 sign of that.

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  • Didn’t Trump explicitly say the US is putting Maduro’s second in command in charge? If so, that makes any benefits to the people from removing Maduro pretty unlikely. Besides removing sanctions, assuming the new dictator kisses the ring.

  • How much of this is if Hong Kong "friends" abroad hypothetically backed the UK invasion of Hong Kong, I just have no respect for this "my friends from that country validate simplistic politics" type of ad hominem. Victims and escapees of oppressive systems are filled with bitter and anger but that doesn't make their solutions automatically the right one.

> The president should not have the power to apprehend a countries president IN THEIR COUNTRY without a process thats more than just "I really want it".

"I really want it" is not the reason. Come on! Maduro is indicted in the Southern District of New York. Both charged with conspiracy to commit narco-terrorism and import cocaine, possession of machine guns and destructive devices, and conspiracy to possess machine guns and destructive devices against the US.

The military operation was merely to lead the operation to allow FBI to arrest. Now, the oil issue certainly can be argued as the real reason for the strike and capture, but frankly they were OUR oil fields (funded by US companies) before Maduro seized them and nationalized them.

we should not dilute the effect of what's been by saying Maduro was not good for Venezuela.

> The president should not have the power to apprehend a countries president IN THEIR COUNTRY

Good thing then that Maduro isn't the president of Venezuela, but a narco-terrorist usurper.

EDIT: Downvoting me will not change that fact, only hide it.

You’re not wrong about the motives, but others are:

The U.S. has all the oil it needs right now.

The message from the U.S. to the world is: don’t nationalize our businesses infrastructure and then use it against our interests (even if they are on your sovereign territory) - we do not forgive and we do not forget.

  • Which might signal to the EU to not build local cloud infrastructure?

    • Why would it signal that? The loud and clear message would be "do not let American companies get involved in your infrastructure, government or any other system where government requirements would come into open conflict with their profits".

So the US did the right thing for the wrong reasons and therefore it is bad? (not that I even agree with your premise).

Also I presume that it is not OK for the US to have its say on who stays in power in Venezuela, but it's OK for Cuba or Russia to do so?

  • First line: My whole point was the opposite, not sure how you had that reading. Wrong thing, might "maybe" and hopefully turn out good for Venezuelans. The only good outcome trump seems to care is his ego and oil interests.

    Second line: You presumed that out of feeling? I did not write anything hinting at that.

  • Right and wrong here are all subjective. In this case it's like, abducting another man's wife from their house and saying it's right for their kids

Thank you for articulating this outside of the regular "HN myopia" lenses.

This event will also serve as a measure of how strong China actually is. Venezuela is very important strategically for them, they can't let it slide unless they're weak.

Surely, they won't go as far as direct US confrontation, but if they don't make Venezuela into a death trap for any US soldier being stationed there, one can draw the conclusion that China isn't as strong as many make them (including me, I confess).

But it wouldn't be that surprising if Venezuela turns out being a death trap for any US soldier being stationed there...

  • Swap China for Russia/Iran and Venezuela for Syria/Yemen if you want an idea how that plays. Spoiler: not well for the proxies.

    Without some sort of underlying religious ideology to neutralize being concerned about the likely outcome of hellfires dropped on you from 20k feet if you kill American soldiers, I can’t see many stepping up.

    • In this scenario, why should Venezuelans fighting against US occupiers be labeled as "proxies" for anyone.

      Even if they are aided by others, they would still be fighting for THEIR freedom, in THEIR land.

      (distinguishing the good guys from the baddies becomes easier, when you strip away the fluff)

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  • > This event will also serve as a measure of how strong China actually is.

    Chinese intervention in Venezuela is a suicide mission by every rule of warfare. You are surrounded, you have no supply line and you can't amass your material at the front since America is already there.

    • That is why I specifically wrote the words "they won't go as far as direct US confrontation". I refer to China-sponsored guerilla warfare.

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